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Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co (601700) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY

CF Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co 601700 · SHG
Price¥6.44
Fair Value¥1.38
Upside-78.6%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.02 – ¥1.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +46.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.95 ¥3.62 Fair Value ¥1.38 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.62 – ¥7.95 · fair‑value band ¥1.02 – ¥1.74 · the ¥6.44 price screens above the ¥1.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co (601700) currently trades at ¥6.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of -9.7%. Revenue grew 49.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.4%. Net debt stands at 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.02 (bear case) to ¥1.74 (bull case); at ¥6.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -79%, 601700 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.60 ¥1.73 ¥1.91 80
Residual Income ¥1.71 ¥1.70 ¥1.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.55 ¥1.71 ¥1.88 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.59 ¥1.74 ¥1.94 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.06 ¥3.85 ¥4.93 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.55 ¥1.71 ¥1.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.12 ¥2.73 ¥3.42 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.06 ¥2.62 ¥3.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.55 ¥1.69 ¥1.87 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.91 ¥2.37 ¥2.96 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.87 ¥2.30 ¥2.79 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5500 ¥1.34 ¥1.74 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4500 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.09 ¥1.94 ¥2.99 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.09 ¥1.62 ¥2.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.02 ¥1.36 ¥1.70 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.02 ¥1.36 ¥1.70 55
EV/EBITDA ¥2.61 ¥3.07 ¥3.53 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.55 ¥1.68 ¥1.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.18 ¥1.58 ¥2.35 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.60 ¥1.73 ¥1.91 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.55 ¥1.71 ¥1.88 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.71 ¥1.70 ¥1.47 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.9700 ¥1.38 ¥1.80 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.30) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +49.1%
Net margin -9.7%
Return on equity -17.4%
Free cash flow 38.8M CNY FY2024
Operating margin 5.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2800
EPS growth (YoY) +203%
Net debt 1.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of voltage transmission line corner towers, steel pipe composite towers, various pipelines, substation structural supports, steel pipes, and other steel structural parts in China.

Full company description

Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of voltage transmission line corner towers, steel pipe composite towers, various pipelines, substation structural supports, steel pipes, and other steel structural parts in China. The company is also involved in the production and sale of cold-formed steel, square and rectangular steel pipes, and steel structural parts; the sale of lubricating oil, diesel oil, fuel oil, asphalt, and chemical products; asset management, investment management, and acquisition of non-performing assets; overseas and domestic bidding projects; import and export of goods and technology. It provides metal materials, metal products, and other mechanical equipment, coal, electronic products, hardware products, etc.; towers, communication and transmission infrastructure; development, sales, and marketing of power equipment and materials; transmission and substations; survey and technical consulting of energy projects; photovoltaic power generation equipment leasing; manufacturing and sales of photovoltaic equipment and components; solar power generation technology services; energy storage technology payment; energy technology research and development; foreign contracting projects; machinery and equipment leasing; centralized fast charging stations; charging pile sales; and technical services. It also offers technical consultation, technical exchange, technology transfer, and technology promotion; engineering management services; sale of industrial control computers and systems; gold and silver products; sales of special electronic materials; integrated circuit chip design and services; research and development of special electronic materials; sales of communication equipment; integrated circuit design; and information technology consulting services. Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Changshu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2024 versus ¥2.6B in FY2020, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥91.3M in FY2024, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
3.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+9.1%
Revenue +5.5%/yr
FY20 ¥2.6B
FY21 ¥3.2B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥3.4B
FY24 ¥3.2B
Net income −19.6%/yr
FY20 ¥219M
FY21 ¥93.3M
FY22 ¥32.2M
FY23 ¥68.8M
FY24 ¥91.3M

601700 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601700

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 49% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 28.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 35
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 91 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co (601700) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.38 versus a price of ¥6.44, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601700?
Our model-based fair value for Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co is ¥1.38 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.44.
What is the quality score of 601700?
Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co (601700)?
Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601700?
The net profit margin of Changshu Fengfan Power Equipment Co is about -9.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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