Chengdu Gas Group (603053) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 7.9B CNY

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• Our model range runs from ¥7.31 (bear) to ¥12.18 (bull), base ¥9.74. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.96 – ¥11.82 · fair‑value band ¥7.31 – ¥12.18 · the ¥8.86 price screens below the ¥9.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Chengdu Gas Group (603053) currently trades at ¥8.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.74, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Gas Group generated revenue of 4.8B CNY at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.31 (bear case) to ¥12.18 (bull case); at ¥8.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 10%, 603053 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.14) versus Asset-Based (¥3.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Chengdu Gas Group Corporation Ltd. engages in the transmission, distribution, and sale of urban gas in China. The company is involved in the supply of urban gas; urban gas engineering construction; pipeline installation; fire protection facility engineering construction; supply of gas-specific equipment and materials; flow meter calibration; gas appliance …

Full company description

Chengdu Gas Group Corporation Ltd. engages in the transmission, distribution, and sale of urban gas in China. The company is involved in the supply of urban gas; urban gas engineering construction; pipeline installation; fire protection facility engineering construction; supply of gas-specific equipment and materials; flow meter calibration; gas appliance testing; urban gas pressure vessel testing; intelligent instruments and meters; research and development, production, sales, technology transfer, and services of computer software and hardware; technical services and consulting for electronic products; and other industrial investments. The company was formerly known as Chengdu Gas Company. Chengdu Gas Group Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1967 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chengdu Gas Group reported revenue of ¥5.4B in FY2025 versus ¥4.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥481M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.