Xinjiang Winka Times Department Store Co (603101) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥3.60 to ¥3.42 (−5.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.13 – ¥13.48 · fair‑value band ¥2.70 – ¥3.92 · the ¥7.22 price screens above the ¥3.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Xinjiang Winka Times Department Store Co (603101) currently trades at ¥7.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.42, implying the stock looks roughly 52.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Winka Times Department Store Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 1.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.70 (bear case) to ¥3.92 (bull case); at ¥7.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -53%, 603101 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.60) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.87). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinjiang Winka Times Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates as a retail and chain supermarket enterprise in China. The company owns and operates department stores, shopping malls, shopping centers, and independent supermarkets, as well as manages shopping centers and department stores for others.
Full company description
Xinjiang Winka Times Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates as a retail and chain supermarket enterprise in China. The company owns and operates department stores, shopping malls, shopping centers, and independent supermarkets, as well as manages shopping centers and department stores for others. It also engages in leasing of commercial properties and property management, etc. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Urumqi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Winka Times Department Store Co reported revenue of ¥2.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥76.9M in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.
603101 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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