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Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co (603124) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 20.6B CNY

JJ Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co 603124 · SHG
Price¥141.11
Fair Value¥25.56
Upside-81.9%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range ¥19.17 – ¥31.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price −5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥31.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (17 months)

¥211.31 ¥10.43 Fair Value ¥25.56 Mar 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range ¥10.43 – ¥211.31 · fair‑value band ¥19.17 – ¥31.95 · the ¥141.11 price screens above the ¥25.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co (603124) currently trades at ¥141.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.56, implying the stock looks roughly 81.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co generated revenue of 11.2B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 39.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at 173M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥19.17 (bear case) to ¥31.95 (bull case); at ¥141.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 207% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -82%, 603124 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥8.07 to ¥71.30). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥11.72 ¥13.82 ¥28.08 76
ROIC Compounder ¥30.27 ¥39.46 ¥51.76 72
Gordon GGM ¥4.60 ¥9.57 ¥15.18 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥16.77 ¥29.08 ¥54.92 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.22 ¥71.30 ¥100.05 54
Lynch FV ¥21.30 ¥30.43 ¥39.56 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥21.30 ¥30.43 ¥39.56 46
EPV ¥26.27 ¥29.46 ¥32.25 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.60 ¥9.57 ¥15.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.60 ¥8.07 ¥10.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥22.55 ¥30.07 ¥37.59 63
P/S Multiple ¥19.17 ¥25.56 ¥31.95 58
P/B Multiple ¥19.17 ¥25.56 ¥31.95 55
EV/EBIT ¥37.27 ¥47.32 ¥57.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥31.31 ¥39.37 ¥47.43 54
EV/Revenue ¥27.45 ¥36.16 ¥44.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.35 ¥8.51 ¥12.70 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.72 ¥13.82 ¥28.08 76
ROIC Compounder ¥30.27 ¥39.46 ¥51.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥28.44 ¥40.63 ¥52.82 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥40.63) versus Dividend Discount (¥8.07). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.7%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 14.3%
Free cash flow −1.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 108.4
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.80
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +63.6%
Net debt 173M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of copper-based new materials worldwide. It offers copper ball series, copper oxide powder series, Anode Phosphor Bronze Series, and high-precision copper-based heat sink series.

Full company description

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of copper-based new materials worldwide. It offers copper ball series, copper oxide powder series, Anode Phosphor Bronze Series, and high-precision copper-based heat sink series. The company serves communications, computers, consumer electronics, automotive electronics, industrial control and medical, aerospace, new energy, and organosilicon. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Yingtan City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co reported revenue of ¥10.3B in FY2025 versus ¥6.3B in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥219M in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+18.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.5%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.9%
Revenue +13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥6.3B
FY22 ¥6.2B
FY23 ¥6.8B
FY24 ¥8.7B
FY25 ¥10.3B
Net income +10.4%/yr
FY21 ¥148M
FY22 ¥105M
FY23 ¥142M
FY24 ¥176M
FY25 ¥219M

603124 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603124

Peer Group

Copper · 61 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 40% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 78.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 11.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.84× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 50.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 57 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $175.66 $86.74 -51%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $61.52 $22.81 -63%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$34.86 C$18.67 -46%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥39.03 ¥35.19 -10%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥5.79 ¥3.06 -47%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM C$28.58 C$21.79 -24%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 ¥16.66 ¥7.00 -58%
Capstone Copper Corp CSC A$13.06 A$7.28 -44%
Yunnan Copper Co 000878 ¥14.32 ¥9.12 -36%
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 HK$14.75 HK$1.76 -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co (603124) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥25.56 versus a price of ¥141.11, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603124?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co is ¥25.56 (as of Aug 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥141.11.
What is the quality score of 603124?
Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co (603124)?
Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603124?
The net profit margin of Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co pay a dividend?
Jiangxi Jiangnan New Material Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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