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Quectel Wireless Solutions Co (603236) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 22.8B CNY

QW Quectel Wireless Solutions Co 603236 · SHG
Price¥49.48
Fair Value¥41.55
Upside-16.0%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.20% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥31.16 – ¥51.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from ¥31.16 (bear) to ¥51.93 (bull), base ¥41.55. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥115.79 ¥30.70 Fair Value ¥41.55 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥30.70 – ¥115.79 · fair‑value band ¥31.16 – ¥51.93 · the ¥49.48 price screens above the ¥41.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co (603236) currently trades at ¥49.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥41.55, implying the stock looks roughly 16.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Quectel Wireless Solutions Co generated revenue of 25.9B CNY at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 29.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 15.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥31.16 (bear case) to ¥51.93 (bull case); at ¥49.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -16%, 603236 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥15.85 ¥18.95 ¥40.51 76
ROIC Compounder ¥36.19 ¥54.44 ¥66.29 72
Gordon GGM ¥7.05 ¥14.66 ¥23.25 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥26.99 ¥55.29 ¥114.71 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥14.13 ¥98.51 ¥138.25 54
Lynch FV ¥50.89 ¥72.71 ¥94.52 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥50.89 ¥72.71 ¥94.52 46
EPV ¥27.51 ¥31.29 ¥34.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥7.05 ¥14.66 ¥23.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥7.05 ¥12.36 ¥15.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥31.16 ¥41.55 ¥51.93 63
P/S Multiple ¥26.49 ¥35.31 ¥44.14 58
P/B Multiple ¥26.49 ¥35.31 ¥44.14 55
EV/EBIT ¥40.57 ¥52.49 ¥64.41 53
EV/EBITDA ¥40.33 ¥52.18 ¥64.03 54
EV/Revenue ¥28.91 ¥39.24 ¥49.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.50 ¥11.39 ¥17.00 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.85 ¥18.95 ¥40.51 76
ROIC Compounder ¥36.19 ¥54.44 ¥66.29 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥65.58 ¥93.69 ¥121.79 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥93.69) versus Asset-Based (¥11.39). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.3%
Net margin 3.0%
Return on equity 13.5%
Free cash flow −1.3B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 27.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.06
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -39.5%
Net cash 15.0M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of wireless communication modules and solutions worldwide.

Full company description

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of wireless communication modules and solutions worldwide. The company offers a range of Internet of Things products and services, including 5G,4G,3G,2G, and LPWA cellular modules; LTE modules; vehicle-mounted front-end modules; 5G and 4G edge computing modules; Wi-Fi and BT communication modules; GNSS positioning modules; satellite communication modules; antennas; and other hardware products, as well as software platform services. It also provides certification and testing, industrial intelligence, agriculture, and other services and solutions. The company's products are used in transportation, energy, financial payment, cities, wireless gateways, agriculture and environmental monitoring, industry, life and healthcare, smart security, and other fields. Quectel Wireless Solutions Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co reported revenue of ¥24.3B in FY2025 versus ¥11.3B in FY2021, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥837M in FY2025, compounding +23.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
24.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+30.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+51.9%
Revenue +21.2%/yr
FY21 ¥11.3B
FY22 ¥14.2B
FY23 ¥13.9B
FY24 ¥18.6B
FY25 ¥24.3B
Net income +23.7%/yr
FY21 ¥358M
FY22 ¥623M
FY23 ¥90.7M
FY24 ¥588M
FY25 ¥837M

603236 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603236

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 290 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 19.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 54 · sector 15
HEALTH 97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Quectel Wireless Solutions Co (603236) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥41.55 versus a price of ¥49.48, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603236?
Our model-based fair value for Quectel Wireless Solutions Co is ¥41.55 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥49.48.
What is the quality score of 603236?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co (603236)?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603236?
The net profit margin of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Quectel Wireless Solutions Co pay a dividend?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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