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Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd stock ¥57.68, price ¥77.29, that is 25.4% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE100003N01

QW Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd

603236 · SHG
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Broad data
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +35%, profit +113%.
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +31.8 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin (TTM)
1.0% dividend yield · Token dividend
Moderate moat 47/100
Fair value ¥57.68 · Overvalued (−25.4%)
Negative free cash flow
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥115.79 ¥30.70 Fair Value ¥57.68 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥30.70 – ¥115.79 · fair‑value band ¥43.26 – ¥72.10 · the ¥77.29 price screens above the ¥57.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of wireless communication modules and solutions worldwide.

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The company offers a range of Internet of Things products and services, including 5G,4G,3G,2G, and LPWA cellular modules; LTE modules; vehicle-mounted front-end modules; 5G and 4G edge computing modules; Wi-Fi and BT communication modules; GNSS positioning modules; satellite communication modules; antennas; and other hardware products, as well as software platform services.

It also provides certification and testing, industrial intelligence, agriculture, and other services and solutions.

The company's products are used in transportation, energy, financial payment, cities, wireless gateways, agriculture and environmental monitoring, industry, life and healthcare, smart security, and other fields.

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) currently trades at ¥77.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥57.68, 25% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥104.11 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥77.29 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥8.81, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥43.26 (bear) to ¥72.10 (bull), the price of ¥77.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd reported revenue of 24.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was 837M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 31.7B CNY (≈ $4.8B) Mid · P/E ratio 23.5 · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) ¥3.29 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 20.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −25%, 603236 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥43.26 Fair Value ¥57.68 Bull ¥72.10
Price ¥77.29 · Downside -25.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥2.18 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥25.44 ¥28.57 ¥31.23 74
Residual Income ¥15.27 ¥17.68 ¥24.02 74
ROIC Compounder ¥32.20 ¥46.21 ¥54.66 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥14.01 ¥97.69 ¥137.09 61
Lynch FV ¥50.47 ¥72.10 ¥93.73 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥50.47 ¥72.10 ¥93.73 55
EPV ¥25.44 ¥28.57 ¥31.23 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.44 ¥12.43 ¥18.21 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.44 ¥10.94 ¥13.17 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥43.26 ¥57.68 ¥72.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥26.26 ¥35.02 ¥43.77 58
P/B Multiple ¥72.00 ¥96.01 ¥120.01 55
EV/EBIT ¥47.33 ¥63.10 ¥78.86 66
EV/EBITDA ¥48.83 ¥65.09 ¥81.36 67
EV/Revenue ¥23.95 ¥34.19 ¥44.44 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.81 ¥8.81 ¥11.01 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.27 ¥17.68 ¥24.02 74
ROIC Compounder ¥32.20 ¥46.21 ¥54.66 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥72.88 ¥104.11 ¥135.34 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 52
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 74
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 35
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 38
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 49
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 31
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 27
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +55.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+32.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31.3% vs 31.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

603236 screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 20.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 4.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 34.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 23.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.63× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.05× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)84 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $93.85 $105.29 +12% vs 603236
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥172.10 ¥189.31 +10% vs 603236
Ubiquiti Inc UI $592.84 $652.12 +10% vs 603236
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥448.00 ¥342.18 −24% vs 603236
Nokia Oyj NOKIA €6.98 €3.87 −45% vs 603236
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $514.51 $249.63 −51% vs 603236
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥40.71 ¥13.93 −66% vs 603236
Ciena Corporation CIEN $243.39 $74.58 −69% vs 603236
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥240.00 ¥59.92 −75% vs 603236
Lumentum Holdings LITE $538.59 $85.88 −84% vs 603236

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Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603236

Frequently asked questions

Is Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥57.68 versus a price of ¥77.29, about 25% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603236?
Our model-based fair value for Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is ¥57.68 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥77.29.
What is the quality score of 603236?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥57.68 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥43.26, optimistic scenario ¥72.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥57.68, about 25% lower versus a price of ¥77.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥43.26, optimistic scenario ¥72.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.741 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 27, 2026. The payout ratio is 22.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 1.0% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 1.0% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd it is ¥57.68 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥77.29. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 603236 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥77.29, fair value ¥57.68, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603236?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥77.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥57.68). For Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd the two are ¥19.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd worth?
The market values Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd at about 31.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥77.29; our models calculate a fair value of ¥57.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603236?
Our models span a range for Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥43.26, base ¥57.68, optimistic ¥72.10 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥77.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603236?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.5 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥57.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 16.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 20.9%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603236 from its 52-week high?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd trades at ¥77.29, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥106.56 and 71% above the low of ¥45.28 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥57.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Motorola Solutions, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥77.29, calculated fair value ¥57.68 (−25%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603236 calculated?
We run Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥57.68 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥77.29. Our model-based fair value is ¥57.68, about 25% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥72.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) come from?
Earnings per share at Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd grew +19.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +36.0 %, EBIT margin −12.1 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The market capitalisation of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 31.7B CNY (≈ $4.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Earnings per share at Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd are ¥3.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The dividend yield of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 1.0% (payout 22.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The net margin of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 4.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 20.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
The operating margin of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Revenue at Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is growing +34.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236)?
Earnings per share at Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd are growing +113% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) generate?
The free cash flow of Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd is −1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236) hold?
Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 15.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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