Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co (603589) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (¥13.80 to ¥25.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.37 – ¥79.49 · fair‑value band ¥13.80 – ¥25.63 · the ¥20.12 price screens above the ¥19.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co (603589) currently trades at ¥20.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.72, implying the stock looks roughly 2.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue declined 24.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥13.80 (bear case) to ¥25.63 (bull case); at ¥20.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -2%, 603589 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.51) versus Earnings-Based (¥9.30). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells liquor products in China. The company offers baijiu under the Kouzijiao, Lao Kouzi, Kouzifang, and Kouzijiu brands, as well as wine products. It sells its products through e-commerce platforms. Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells liquor products in China. The company offers baijiu under the Kouzijiao, Lao Kouzi, Kouzifang, and Kouzijiu brands, as well as wine products. It sells its products through e-commerce platforms. Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Huaibei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co reported revenue of ¥4.0B in FY2025 versus ¥5.0B in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥673M in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 603589: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
Compare Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co (603589) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 603589?
What is the quality score of 603589?
What is the revenue of Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co (603589)?
What is the net profit margin of 603589?
Does Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.