Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group (603639) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥10.55 to ¥11.38 (+7.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥8.54 (bear) to ¥14.22 (bull), base ¥11.38. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.10 – ¥26.85 · fair‑value band ¥8.54 – ¥14.22 · the ¥10.54 price screens below the ¥11.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group (603639) currently trades at ¥10.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.38, implying the stock looks roughly 8.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group generated revenue of 4.1B CNY at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 135M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.54 (bear case) to ¥14.22 (bull case); at ¥10.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 8%, 603639 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.71) versus Earnings-Based (¥6.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pesticides, intermediates, and functional fertilizers in China.
Full company description
Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pesticides, intermediates, and functional fertilizers in China. It offers pesticide preparations including insecticides, fungicides, herbicides, and other series of varieties; pesticide technical materials, such as imidacloprid, acetamiprid, pyraclostrobin, emamectin benzoate, clothianidin, propylthio conazole, diafenthiuron, chlorfenapyr, and difenoconazole; pesticide intermediates comprising dichloride; and water-soluble fertilizers that includes amino acids. Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hailir Pesticides and Chemicals Group reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2025 versus ¥3.7B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥182M in FY2025, compounding −20.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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