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Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp (603681) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.5B CNY

SY Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp 603681 · SHG
Price¥18.38
Fair Value¥8.87
Upside-51.7%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.40% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.65 – ¥11.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price −5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥39.77 ¥9.85 Fair Value ¥8.87 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.85 – ¥39.77 · fair‑value band ¥6.65 – ¥11.08 · the ¥18.38 price screens above the ¥8.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp (603681) currently trades at ¥18.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.87, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp generated revenue of 6.7B CNY at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.65 (bear case) to ¥11.08 (bull case); at ¥18.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -52%, 603681 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.35 ¥8.42 ¥7.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.10 ¥7.26 ¥8.27 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.86 ¥5.70 ¥8.63 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.55 ¥24.00 ¥33.64 54
Lynch FV ¥7.04 ¥10.06 ¥13.07 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.04 ¥10.06 ¥13.07 46
EPV ¥6.10 ¥7.26 ¥8.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.86 ¥5.70 ¥8.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.86 ¥4.93 ¥6.02 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.65 ¥8.87 ¥11.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.65 ¥8.87 ¥11.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.65 ¥8.87 ¥11.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.19 ¥11.36 ¥14.52 53
EV/EBITDA ¥15.50 ¥21.10 ¥26.70 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.93 ¥10.45 ¥13.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.53 ¥7.41 ¥11.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.35 ¥8.42 ¥7.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.10 ¥7.26 ¥8.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.93 ¥12.76 ¥16.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.76) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.93). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.8%
Net margin 2.0%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow −129M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 39.7
More key figures
Operating margin 4.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6900
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +114%
Net debt 1.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells adhesive products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells adhesive products in China and internationally. It also offers cloth duct, masking, BOPP, PVC, double sided, wire harness, aluminum foil, kraft paper, anti-slip, fiberglass and fiberglass mesh, warning, all weather, butyl, cellophane, stationery tapes; and pre-taped masking, tape lint roller, and adhesive tape dispenser. The company offers stretch films, BOPP film adhesive tape, and laminating film. In addition, it provides hot melt adhesive for tape and label, as well as self-adhesive shipping, barcode, and logistics labels. Further, the company offers floor graphics, cold lamination film, and self-adhesive vinyl for cars. It serves electrical, surface protection, logistics OPP tape, building, construction, and paint sectors. Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp reported revenue of ¥6.7B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥124M in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+22.5%
Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY21 ¥3.8B
FY22 ¥5.0B
FY23 ¥5.5B
FY24 ¥6.2B
FY25 ¥6.7B
Net income −13.9%/yr
FY21 ¥226M
FY22 ¥228M
FY23 ¥82.7M
FY24 ¥163M
FY25 ¥124M

603681 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603681

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 18.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 19 · sector 19
PAST 20 · sector 23
HEALTH 75 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp (603681) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.87 versus a price of ¥18.38, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603681?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp is ¥8.87 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥18.38.
What is the quality score of 603681?
Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp (603681)?
Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603681?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp pay a dividend?
Shanghai Yongguan Adhesive Products Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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