Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co (603787) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥4.75 to ¥4.59 (−3.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.46 – ¥29.45 · fair‑value band ¥3.63 – ¥4.98 · the ¥10.15 price screens above the ¥4.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co (603787) currently trades at ¥10.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.59, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co generated revenue of 4.0B CNY at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 336M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.63 (bear case) to ¥4.98 (bull case); at ¥10.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -55%, 603787 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.43) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.49). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles in China and internationally. The company offers MIKU, utility, high speed, moped, small size, bicycle, and E-car related products. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Wuxi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥4.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥50.6M in FY2025, compounding +45.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
603787 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →
Peer Group
Recreational Vehicles · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 | ¥293.01 | ¥199.10 | -32% |
| Brunswick Corporation BC | $80.45 | $16.76 | -79% |
| BRP Inc DOO | C$85.96 | C$86.81 | +1% |
| Polaris Inc PII | $67.40 | $29.83 | -56% |
| THOR Industries, Inc THO | $72.86 | $97.14 | +33% |
| Trigano S.A TRI | €149.60 | €273.48 | +83% |
| Patrick Industries, Inc PATK | $82.70 | $85.54 | +3% |
| Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG | $26.81 | $64.09 | +139% |
| LCI Industries, LCII | $108.17 | $156.35 | +45% |
| Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL | €38.30 | €40.65 | +6% |
Compare Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co with another stock
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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