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Friend Co (605050) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY

FC Friend Co 605050 · SHG
Price¥10.57
Fair Value¥12.41
Upside+17.4%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.91% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.92 – ¥13.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +8.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥7.92 (bear) to ¥13.93 (bull), base ¥12.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.64 ¥7.34 Fair Value ¥12.41 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.34 – ¥21.64 · fair‑value band ¥7.92 – ¥13.93 · the ¥10.57 price screens below the ¥12.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Friend Co (605050) currently trades at ¥10.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.41, implying the stock looks roughly 17.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Friend Co generated revenue of 11.9B CNY at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at 133M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.92 (bear case) to ¥13.93 (bull case); at ¥10.57, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 17%, 605050 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.64 ¥8.19 ¥9.12 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.50 ¥12.58 ¥15.30 72
Gordon GGM ¥3.34 ¥6.65 ¥10.07 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥5.66 ¥7.07 ¥9.26 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.15 ¥19.01 ¥25.68 54
Lynch FV ¥4.55 ¥6.50 ¥8.45 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.55 ¥6.50 ¥8.45 46
EPV ¥10.19 ¥11.27 ¥12.21 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.34 ¥6.65 ¥10.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.34 ¥5.75 ¥7.02 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.65 ¥12.87 ¥16.09 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.65 ¥12.87 ¥16.09 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.65 ¥12.87 ¥16.09 55
EV/EBIT ¥14.37 ¥18.04 ¥21.72 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.96 ¥16.17 ¥19.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥12.90 ¥16.99 ¥21.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.61 ¥6.18 ¥9.22 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.64 ¥8.19 ¥9.12 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.50 ¥12.58 ¥15.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.50 ¥10.72 ¥13.93 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥12.87) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.75). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.3%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow −314M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7600
Dividend yield 3.9%
Net debt 133M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Friend Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides steel logistics supply chain services for medium and high-end automobile, home appliance, and other related enterprises in China and internationally.

Full company description

Friend Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides steel logistics supply chain services for medium and high-end automobile, home appliance, and other related enterprises in China and internationally. The company offers procurement, processing, warehousing, tailoring, sorting, cutting, packaging, transportation, and distribution services, as well as corresponding technical support services. It also provides galvanized steel, cold-rolled steel, hot-rolled steel, electrical steel, color-coated steel, aluminum plates and coils, aluminum sheets, and related products. Friend Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Friend Co reported revenue of ¥11.8B in FY2025 versus ¥10.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥373M in FY2025, compounding +2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+10.8%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥10.0B
FY22 ¥10.3B
FY23 ¥9.8B
FY24 ¥11.3B
FY25 ¥11.8B
Net income +2.5%/yr
FY21 ¥339M
FY22 ¥305M
FY23 ¥417M
FY24 ¥317M
FY25 ¥373M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Friend Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605050

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 20
FUTURE 22 · sector 4
PAST 34 · sector 15
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 78 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Friend Co (605050) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.41 versus a price of ¥10.57, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 605050?
Our model-based fair value for Friend Co is ¥12.41 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.57.
What is the quality score of 605050?
Friend Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Friend Co (605050)?
Friend Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605050?
The net profit margin of Friend Co is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Friend Co pay a dividend?
Friend Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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