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Jiangxi Guoguang Commercial Chains Co (605188) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 6.9B CNY

Price¥12.70
Fair Value¥1.31
Upside-89.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.9500 – ¥1.67

Analysis

Jiangxi Guoguang Commercial Chains Co (605188) currently trades at ¥12.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.31 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Jiangxi Guoguang Commercial Chains Co., Ltd. operates a chain of supermarkets and department stores in China. Its stores fresh food and food as its core category. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Ji'an, China. Jiangxi Guoguang Commercial Chains Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Jiangxi Guoguang Industrial Co., Ltd.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.