Country Garden Services Holdings (6098) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$17.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from HK$6.87 to HK$7.95 (+15.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 48% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$6.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.95 – HK$78.93 · fair‑value band HK$6.57 – HK$7.95 · the HK$5.39 price screens below the HK$7.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Country Garden Services Holdings (6098) currently trades at HK$5.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.95, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Country Garden Services Holdings generated revenue of HK$48.4B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$10.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$6.57 (bear case) to HK$7.95 (bull case); at HK$5.39, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 48%, 6098 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$15.69) versus Multiples (HK$3.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services to property owners, residents, and property developers in Mainland China.
Full company description
Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services to property owners, residents, and property developers in Mainland China. It operates through four segments: Property Management and Related Services Other than Three Supplies and Property Management Businesses; Three Supplies and Property Management Businesses; Environmental business; and Commercial Operational Services Business. The company offers security, cleaning, green landscaping, gardening, repair and maintenance, and other services. Its property management portfolio includes residential properties, commercial properties, office buildings, industrial parks, multi-purpose complexes, government buildings, hospitals, and schools, as well as other public facilities, such as airport terminals, highway service stations, scenic areas, and other non-residential properties. It also provides community value-added services comprising home living, home decoration intermediate services, real estate brokerage services, community media services, local life services, community area services, insurance brokerage services, and sales of goods. In addition, the company offers management consultancy services to property developers for their pre-sale activities, as well as consultancy services for properties managed by other property management companies; and cleaning, green landscaping, repair, and maintenance services to property developers at the pre-delivery stage. Further, the company provides sales and leasing agency services of unsold parking spaces and properties; heat supply, city, and commercial operational services; elevator products installation, supporting, and other services; information system integration, science and technology promotion and application, advertising, and e-commerce services. Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Foshan, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Country Garden Services Holdings reported revenue of HK$48.4B in FY2025 versus HK$28.8B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$601M in FY2025, compounding −37.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 521 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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