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Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp (688033) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY

BT Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp 688033 · SHG
Price¥6.27
Fair Value¥3.36
Upside-46.4%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.96 – ¥5.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥3.02 to ¥3.36 (+11.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.96 to ¥5.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥32.90 ¥4.57 Fair Value ¥3.36 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.57 – ¥32.90 · fair‑value band ¥1.96 – ¥5.02 · the ¥6.27 price screens above the ¥3.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp (688033) currently trades at ¥6.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.36, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 567M CNY. Revenue declined 49.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -89.5%. Net debt stands at 573M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.96 (bear case) to ¥5.02 (bull case); at ¥6.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -46%, 688033 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.99 ¥2.80 ¥3.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.74 ¥2.61 ¥3.61 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.9300 ¥1.86 ¥2.82 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.96 ¥2.89 ¥4.24 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.74 ¥2.60 ¥3.69 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.77 ¥2.56 ¥3.61 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9300 ¥1.86 ¥2.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9300 ¥1.52 ¥1.96 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥1.69 ¥2.32 ¥2.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.99 ¥2.80 ¥3.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.74 ¥2.61 ¥3.61 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥2.61) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 567M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -49.9%
Return on equity -89.5%
Free cash flow 91.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -59.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥-3.97
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +58.3%
Net debt 573M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp., Ltd. manufactures and sells braking systems for high-speed trains, EMUs, locomotives, and urban rail transit vehicles in China and internationally. It offers Carbon deflectors, powder metallurgy brakes, carbon ceramic coated discs, and magnetic material carbon ceramic box bowl.

Full company description

Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp., Ltd. manufactures and sells braking systems for high-speed trains, EMUs, locomotives, and urban rail transit vehicles in China and internationally. It offers Carbon deflectors, powder metallurgy brakes, carbon ceramic coated discs, and magnetic material carbon ceramic box bowl. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp reported revenue of ¥683M in FY2025 versus ¥671M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.2B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
683M CNY
Latest YoY
−10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+4.3%
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥671M
FY22 ¥987M
FY23 ¥2.1B
FY24 ¥763M
FY25 ¥683M
Net income
FY21 ¥175M
FY22 ¥178M
FY23 ¥144M
FY24 −¥1.5B
FY25 −¥2.2B

688033 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688033

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -59% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -50% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp (688033) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.36 versus a price of ¥6.27, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688033?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp is ¥3.36 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.27.
What is the quality score of 688033?
Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp (688033)?
Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 567M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688033?
The net profit margin of Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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