ZWSOFT Guangzhou Co Ltd (688083) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 8.7B CNY
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from ¥4.13 to ¥27.77 (+572.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +8.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥36.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥19.43 to ¥36.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥39.97 – ¥218.21 · fair‑value band ¥19.43 – ¥36.10 · the ¥53.63 price screens above the ¥27.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
ZWSOFT Guangzhou Co Ltd (688083) currently trades at ¥53.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥27.77, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, ZWSOFT Guangzhou Co Ltd generated revenue of 915M CNY at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 17.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 287M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥19.43 (bear case) to ¥36.10 (bull case); at ¥53.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -48%, 688083 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥10.30) versus Economic Profit (¥2.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zwsoft Co.,Ltd. provides CAD/CAM/CAE solutions in China and internationally. The company offers ZWCAD, a CAD solution for 2D drafting and 3D navigation; ZWCAD MFG, a CAD solution which enables users to create designs; ZWSim Structural, a structural simulation software; ZW3D, a 3D CAD built for professional engineers; and ZWCAD Mobile.
Full company description
Zwsoft Co.,Ltd. provides CAD/CAM/CAE solutions in China and internationally. The company offers ZWCAD, a CAD solution for 2D drafting and 3D navigation; ZWCAD MFG, a CAD solution which enables users to create designs; ZWSim Structural, a structural simulation software; ZW3D, a 3D CAD built for professional engineers; and ZWCAD Mobile. It serves architecture, energy, construction, surveying, mechanical, electrical, automotive, shipbuilding, rail transit, and defense industries. The company was formerly known as ZWCAD Software Co., Ltd. Zwsoft Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ZWSOFT Guangzhou Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥894M in FY2025 versus ¥619M in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥21.5M in FY2025, compounding −41.3%/yr from FY2021.
688083 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 726 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹962.00 | ₹554.07 | -42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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