Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co (688102) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 30.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥3.02 to ¥20.37 (+574.5%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −26.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥5.38 – ¥54.26 · fair‑value band ¥15.24 – ¥26.17 · the ¥34.05 price screens above the ¥20.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
Analysis
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co (688102) currently trades at ¥34.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.37, implying the stock looks roughly 40.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 28.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at 444M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.24 (bear case) to ¥26.17 (bull case); at ¥34.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 172% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -40%, 688102 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥4.29) versus Asset-Based (¥1.66). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells copper alloy materials and products, and other special copper alloy series materials.
Full company description
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells copper alloy materials and products, and other special copper alloy series materials. The company offers high strength and high conductivity copper alloys, medium and high voltage contact materials, high-performance chromium powders, CT and DR tube components, and other new industrial products, as well as components of the medical imaging. Its products are primarily used in the fields of medium and high voltage power switch, rail transportation motor, new energy vehicles, high-end medical equipment, mold manufacturing, steel metallurgy mold, new generation of electronic information industry, etc. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Xi'an, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥968M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥148M in FY2025, compounding +23.5%/yr from FY2021.
688102 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $175.66 | $86.74 | -51% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $61.52 | $22.81 | -63% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$34.86 | C$18.67 | -46% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥39.03 | ¥35.19 | -10% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥5.79 | ¥3.06 | -47% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$28.58 | C$21.79 | -24% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥16.66 | ¥7.00 | -58% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$13.06 | A$7.28 | -44% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥14.32 | ¥9.12 | -36% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$14.75 | HK$1.76 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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