Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A ¥2.99, price ¥29.42, upside -89.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ¥2.99 · Strongly overvalued (−89.8%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +18.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Trails peers(5/13)
!Narrow moat38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range ¥5.38 – ¥54.26 · fair‑value band ¥2.23 – ¥3.77 · the ¥29.42 price screens above the ¥2.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells copper alloy materials and products, and other special copper alloy series materials.
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Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells copper alloy materials and products, and other special copper alloy series materials. The company offers high strength and high conductivity copper alloys, medium and high voltage contact materials, high-performance chromium powders, CT and DR tube components, and other new industrial products, as well as components of the medical imaging. Its products are primarily used in the fields of medium and high voltage power switch, rail transportation motor, new energy vehicles, high-end medical equipment, mold manufacturing, steel metallurgy mold, new generation of electronic information industry, etc. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Xi'an, China.
Stock analysis
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102) currently trades at ¥29.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.99, implying the stock looks roughly 884.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥4.29 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥29.42 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.57, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.23 (bear) to ¥3.77 (bull), the price of ¥29.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 968M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was 148M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 22.8B CNY (≈ $3.4B) · P/E ratio 133.7 · P/S ratio 12.6 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −90%, 688102 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.23Fair Value ¥2.99Bull ¥3.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1341 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 12%
Compare Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 60 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.6% · Above median
Return on assets4.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)9.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth50.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)133.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B11.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)12.09× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA77.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688102
Frequently asked questions
Is Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.99 versus a price of ¥29.42, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688102?
Our model-based fair value for Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is ¥2.99 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥29.42.
What is the quality score of 688102?
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.99 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.23, optimistic scenario ¥3.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.99, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥29.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.23, optimistic scenario ¥3.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A it is ¥2.99 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of ¥29.42. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 688102 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥29.42, fair value ¥2.99, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688102?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥29.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.99). For Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥26.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A at about 22.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is ¥29.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688102?
Our models span a range for Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥2.23, base ¥2.99, optimistic ¥3.77 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price ¥29.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688102?
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 133.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 11.8, P/S 12.1, EV/EBITDA 77.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688102 from its 52-week high?
Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥29.42, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥54.26 and 82% above the low of ¥16.12 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price ¥29.42, calculated fair value ¥2.99 (−90%), Quality Score 36/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688102 calculated?
We run Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ¥29.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.99, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The market capitalisation of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 22.8B CNY (≈ $3.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 12.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Earnings per share at Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 133.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The dividend yield of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 0.1% (payout 18.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The net margin of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
The operating margin of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Revenue at Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is growing +50.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102)?
Earnings per share at Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A are growing +17.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102) generate?
The free cash flow of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is −159M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A (688102) carry?
The net debt of Shaanxi Sirui Advanced Materials Co. Ltd. A is 444M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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