Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co (688152) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥6.48 to ¥5.87 (−9.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range ¥23.54 – ¥122.85 · fair‑value band ¥4.79 – ¥6.95 · the ¥28.62 price screens above the ¥5.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co (688152) currently trades at ¥28.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.87, implying the stock looks roughly 79.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co generated revenue of 316M CNY at a net margin of -16.8%. Revenue grew 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.79 (bear case) to ¥6.95 (bull case); at ¥28.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -79%, 688152 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥8.01) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.55). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides operating system products and services in China.
Full company description
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides operating system products and services in China. The company offers server, desktop, and embedded operating systems, as well as operating system value-added products; cloud computing products comprising cloud desktop, lightweight cloud platforms, hyper-converged all-in-one, and cloud terminal/cloud computer; information security products consisting of Kylin security storage systems and terminal security management software; and artificial intelligence products, such as Kylin security intelligent computing machines and Kylin security intelligent operation and maintenance platforms, as well as country-level information technology innovation cloud office systems; and storage encryption systems for information security. It also provides vocational education cloud classroom, information technology innovation cloud desktop, secure cloud office, police office, power dispatching, CentOS transparent application, 3D application, and CentOS security hardening kit solutions; public services, such as industry qualification training, market connection, project incubation, and policy guidance; technology co-creation adaptation and migration, and industry expansion and innovation; and technical support services. The company serves the party and government, energy, finance, and vocational education industries. Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co reported revenue of ¥310M in FY2025 versus ¥338M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥58.1M in FY2025.
688152 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 371 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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