Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥18.06, price ¥40.69, upside -55.6%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range ¥23.54 – ¥122.85 · fair‑value band ¥16.98 – ¥18.92 · the ¥40.69 price screens above the ¥18.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides operating system products and services in China.
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Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides operating system products and services in China. The company offers server, desktop, and embedded operating systems, as well as operating system value-added products; cloud computing products comprising cloud desktop, lightweight cloud platforms, hyper-converged all-in-one, and cloud terminal/cloud computer; information security products consisting of Kylin security storage systems and terminal security management software; and artificial intelligence products, such as Kylin security intelligent computing machines and Kylin security intelligent operation and maintenance platforms, as well as country-level information technology innovation cloud office systems; and storage encryption systems for information security. It also provides vocational education cloud classroom, information technology innovation cloud desktop, secure cloud office, police office, power dispatching, CentOS transparent application, 3D application, and CentOS security hardening kit solutions; public services, such as industry qualification training, market connection, project incubation, and policy guidance; technology co-creation adaptation and migration, and industry expansion and innovation; and technical support services. The company serves the party and government, energy, finance, and vocational education industries. Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.
Stock analysis
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152) currently trades at ¥40.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.06, 55.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥8.01 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥40.69 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.28, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥16.98 (bear) to ¥18.92 (bull), the price of ¥40.69 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 310M CNY in FY2025 versus 338M CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −58.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B CNY (≈ $625M) · P/S ratio 13.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4900 · Net margin −18.7% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% · Operating margin −43.2% · Revenue (TTM) 313M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −56%, 688152 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥16.98Fair Value ¥18.06Bull ¥18.92
Price ¥40.69 · Upside -55.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
43.7% (2020) → −33.3% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 333 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−55.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−16.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−43.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.8% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688152
Frequently asked questions
Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.06 versus a price of ¥40.69, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688152?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥18.06 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥40.69.
What is the quality score of 688152?
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥18.06 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥16.98, optimistic scenario ¥18.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥18.06, about −56% upside versus a price of ¥40.69 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥16.98, optimistic scenario ¥18.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 313M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥18.06 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of ¥40.69. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 688152 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥40.69, fair value ¥18.06, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688152?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥40.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥18.06). For Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥22.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 4.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥40.69; our models calculate a fair value of ¥18.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688152?
Our models span a range for Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥16.98, base ¥18.06, optimistic ¥18.92 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price ¥40.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688152 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥40.69, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥57.16 and 66% above the low of ¥24.45 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥18.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price ¥40.69, calculated fair value ¥18.06 (−56%), Quality Score 32/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688152 calculated?
We run Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥18.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥40.69. Our model-based fair value is ¥18.06, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (¥16.98 to ¥18.92), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
The market capitalisation of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.2B CNY (≈ $625M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is 13.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥−0.4900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
The net margin of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is −18.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
The operating margin of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is −43.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Revenue at Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing −4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +77.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A (688152) generate?
The free cash flow of Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co. Ltd. A is −9.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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