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Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A stock ¥10.92, price ¥97.58, upside -88.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE1000053F8

OT Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A

688195 · SHG
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +94%, profit +64%.
Quality 59/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr in CNY)
0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 59/100 · thin data
Fair value ¥10.92 · Strongly overvalued (−88.8%)
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
Structural break

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥283.46 ¥10.69 Fair Value ¥10.92 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.69 – ¥283.46 · fair‑value band ¥8.19 – ¥13.65 · the ¥97.58 price screens above the ¥10.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Optowide Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of precision optics and fiber components in China and internationally.

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The company's precision optics products include molded glass aspheric lenses, free form lenses optical filters, plano optics, optical components, spherical optics, and other optics; and fiber components, such as telecom passive components, high power laser components, and other fiber components.

Its products are used in optical communications, fiber lasers and other fields, such as quantum information research, biomedicine, and consumer optics. Optowide Technologies Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is based in Fuzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195) currently trades at ¥97.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.92, 88.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.96 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥97.58 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.12, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥8.19 (bear) to ¥13.65 (bull), the price of ¥97.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 586M CNY in FY2025 versus 303M CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was 70.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 19.7B CNY (≈ $3.0B) Mid · P/E ratio 171.2 · P/S ratio 21.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5700 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −89%, 688195 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4400 to ¥29.47). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥8.19 Fair Value ¥10.92 Bull ¥13.65
Price ¥97.58 · Upside -88.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3773 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥4.41 ¥4.64 ¥5.15 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.38 ¥3.96 ¥4.47 72
EPV ¥3.38 ¥3.96 ¥4.47 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.65 ¥18.49 ¥25.95 63
Lynch FV ¥6.68 ¥9.55 ¥12.41 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.68 ¥9.55 ¥12.41 57
EPV ¥3.38 ¥3.96 ¥4.47 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6400 ¥1.32 ¥2.07 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6400 ¥1.12 ¥1.39 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.19 ¥10.92 ¥13.65 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.97 ¥6.63 ¥8.29 58
P/B Multiple ¥22.10 ¥29.47 ¥36.84 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.22 ¥11.06 ¥13.89 66
EV/EBITDA ¥11.92 ¥15.99 ¥20.05 67
EV/Revenue ¥4.02 ¥5.86 ¥7.70 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.2900 ¥0.4400 ¥0.5600 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.41 ¥4.64 ¥5.15 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.38 ¥3.96 ¥4.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.77 ¥13.96 ¥18.14 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 45
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 83
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 37
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 41
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 48
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 15%
2025 sits 69% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

688195 screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 306 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −88.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 12.2% · Above median
Return on assets 4.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 11.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 29.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 93.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 171.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 19.94× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 21.79× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 80.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688195

Frequently asked questions

Is Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.92 versus a price of ¥97.58, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688195?
Our model-based fair value for Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is ¥10.92 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥97.58.
What is the quality score of 688195?
Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.92 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.19, optimistic scenario ¥13.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.92, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥97.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥8.19, optimistic scenario ¥13.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 904M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A it is ¥10.92 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥97.58. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 688195 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥97.58, fair value ¥10.92, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688195?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥97.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.92). For Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥86.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A at about 19.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥97.58; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688195?
Our models span a range for Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥8.19, base ¥10.92, optimistic ¥13.65 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥97.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688195?
Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 171.2 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥10.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 19.9, P/S 21.8, EV/EBITDA 80.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Balance-sheet figures for Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688195 from its 52-week high?
Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥97.58, about 66% below its 52-week high of ¥283.46 and 28% above the low of ¥76.42 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Motorola Solutions, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥97.58, calculated fair value ¥10.92 (−89%), Quality Score 59/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688195 calculated?
We run Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥10.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥97.58. Our model-based fair value is ¥10.92, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The market capitalisation of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 19.7B CNY (≈ $3.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 21.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Earnings per share at Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.5700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 171.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The dividend yield of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 0.1% (payout 20.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The net margin of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 11.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
The operating margin of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 29.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Revenue at Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is growing +93.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195)?
Earnings per share at Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A are growing +64.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195) generate?
The free cash flow of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is −215M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A (688195) carry?
The net debt of Optowide Technologies Co. Ltd. A is 49.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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