Jilin OLED Material Tech Co Ltd (688378) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 10.8B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · ISIN CNE100004371
What is Jilin OLED Material Tech Co Ltd really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 755% above our fair value of ¥5.23.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +25.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.91 – ¥62.00 · fair‑value band ¥3.92 – ¥6.54 · the ¥44.71 price screens above the ¥5.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jilin OLED Material Tech Co Ltd (688378) currently trades at ¥44.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.23, implying the stock looks roughly 754.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.00 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥44.71 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥3.05, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jilin OLED Material Tech Co Ltd generated revenue of 659M CNY at a net margin of 19.3%. Revenue grew 53.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 230M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.92 (bear case) to ¥6.54 (bull case); at ¥44.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 193% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −88%, 688378 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1939 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.00) versus Economic Profit (¥3.05). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Jilin OLED Material Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of materials and equipment in the organic light-emitting diode (OLED) industry in China and internationally. It operates through OLED Key Functional Materials Business, and Steam Source Equipment Business segments.
Full company description
Jilin OLED Material Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of materials and equipment in the organic light-emitting diode (OLED) industry in China and internationally. It operates through OLED Key Functional Materials Business, and Steam Source Equipment Business segments. The company offers electronic functional materials; luminescent functional materials; OLED intermediate; and other functional materials. It also provides equipment, such as evaporation source equipment; microOLED evaporation machine; and Perovskite evaporation machine, as well as optoelectronic and special electronic materials. Jilin OLED Material Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Changchun, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jilin OLED Material Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 577M CNY in FY2025 versus 406M CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 80.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.
688378 screens 755% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 713 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $485.35 | $222.03 | −54% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $344.86 | $143.38 | −58% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $286.75 | $96.18 | −66% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $308.09 | $122.14 | −60% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,282 | CHF 1,498 | −54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥75.06 | ¥68.03 | −9% |
| 500820 500820 | ₹2,757 | ₹557.43 | −80% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 456.40 | kr 169.99 | −63% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,630 | ₹696.23 | −74% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $114.22 | $71.31 | −38% |
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