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Shanghai Skychem Technology Co (688603) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 13.6B CNY

SS Shanghai Skychem Technology Co 688603 · SHG
Price¥108.50
Fair Value¥10.17
Upside-90.6%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.13% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.44 – ¥12.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −22.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥25,814 ¥15.78 Fair Value ¥10.17 Jul 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range ¥15.78 – ¥25,814 · fair‑value band ¥7.44 – ¥12.55 · the ¥108.50 price screens above the ¥10.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Skychem Technology Co (688603) currently trades at ¥108.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.17, implying the stock looks roughly 90.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Skychem Technology Co generated revenue of 514M CNY at a net margin of 19.0%. Revenue grew 42.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.44 (bear case) to ¥12.55 (bull case); at ¥108.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 163% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -91%, 688603 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.82 ¥8.26 ¥8.97 76
Gordon GGM ¥1.84 ¥3.82 ¥6.06 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.75 ¥12.51 ¥16.26 68
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.73 ¥21.21 ¥29.08 54
Lynch FV ¥5.53 ¥7.89 ¥10.26 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.53 ¥7.89 ¥10.26 46
EPV ¥6.57 ¥7.53 ¥8.36 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.84 ¥3.82 ¥6.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.84 ¥3.22 ¥4.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.42 ¥13.90 ¥17.37 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.08 ¥9.44 ¥11.80 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.86 ¥11.81 ¥14.77 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.13 ¥14.55 ¥17.98 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.19 ¥11.97 ¥14.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.45 ¥10.28 ¥13.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.79 ¥6.42 ¥9.58 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.82 ¥8.26 ¥8.97 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.57 ¥7.53 ¥8.36 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.75 ¥12.51 ¥16.26 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.51) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 514M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.4%
Net margin 19.0%
Return on equity 8.2%
Free cash flow −90.0M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 139.6
More key figures
Operating margin 21.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7800
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +60.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Skychem Technology Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sales of functional wet electronic chemicals. The company offers carrier board specialty chemicals, electroless Cu for touch panel and blackening for touch panels, hole metallization, plating, copper surface treatments, and advance packaging products.

Full company description

Shanghai Skychem Technology Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sales of functional wet electronic chemicals. The company offers carrier board specialty chemicals, electroless Cu for touch panel and blackening for touch panels, hole metallization, plating, copper surface treatments, and advance packaging products. It serves electronic circuit, semiconductor packaging, display, and new energy industries. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Skychem Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Skychem Technology Co., Ltd. in July 2025. Shanghai Skychem Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is based in Jinshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Skychem Technology Co reported revenue of ¥471M in FY2025 versus ¥375M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥86.7M in FY2025, compounding +17.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
471M CNY
Latest YoY
+23.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 ¥375M
FY22 ¥374M
FY23 ¥339M
FY24 ¥381M
FY25 ¥471M
Net income +17.8%/yr
FY21 ¥45.0M
FY22 ¥54.6M
FY23 ¥58.6M
FY24 ¥74.7M
FY25 ¥86.7M

688603 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Skychem Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688603

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 670 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 139.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 11.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 26.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 33 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Skychem Technology Co (688603) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.17 versus a price of ¥108.50, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688603?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Skychem Technology Co is ¥10.17 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥108.50.
What is the quality score of 688603?
Shanghai Skychem Technology Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Skychem Technology Co (688603)?
Shanghai Skychem Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 514M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688603?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Skychem Technology Co is about 19.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Skychem Technology Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Skychem Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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