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Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group (688660) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.6B CNY

SE Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group 688660 · SHG
Price¥8.88
Fair Value¥2.21
Upside-75.1%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -7.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.37 – ¥3.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥3.03 to ¥2.21 (−27.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.37 to ¥3.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.56 ¥2.79 Fair Value ¥2.21 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.79 – ¥25.56 · fair‑value band ¥1.37 – ¥3.30 · the ¥8.88 price screens above the ¥2.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group (688660) currently trades at ¥8.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.21, implying the stock looks roughly 75.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group generated revenue of 14.2B CNY at a net margin of -7.6%. Revenue grew 66.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 132M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.37 (bear case) to ¥3.30 (bull case); at ¥8.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -75%, 688660 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.74 ¥2.52 ¥3.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.47 ¥2.23 ¥3.10 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.8500 ¥1.78 ¥2.82 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.72 ¥2.59 ¥3.92 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.47 ¥2.23 ¥3.17 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.51 ¥2.21 ¥3.14 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8500 ¥1.78 ¥2.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8500 ¥1.41 ¥1.86 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥1.41 ¥1.95 ¥2.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.65 ¥2.21 ¥3.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.74 ¥2.52 ¥3.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.47 ¥2.23 ¥3.10 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.23) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 14.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +66.9%
Net margin -7.6%
Return on equity -24.3%
Free cash flow 187M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -23.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.8000
EPS growth (YoY) -96.9%
Net cash 132M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacturing, and sale of wind power equipment in China.

Full company description

Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacturing, and sale of wind power equipment in China. The company provides value-added services for wind turbines, wind farm management optimization, and personnel capacity improvement, as well as spare parts solutions, lean operation and maintenance, special operation and maintenance, intelligent equipment, intelligent asset management, asset optimization, training, and consulting. It is also involved in the wind resource development, wind farm investment and construction, wind farm operation, or transfer. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Shanghai, China. Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shanghai Electric Machinery Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group reported revenue of ¥13.7B in FY2025 versus ¥23.5B in FY2021, a compound −12.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥989M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+31.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+9.6%
Revenue −12.6%/yr
FY21 ¥23.5B
FY22 ¥12.1B
FY23 ¥10.1B
FY24 ¥10.4B
FY25 ¥13.7B
Net income
FY21 ¥507M
FY22 −¥338M
FY23 −¥1.3B
FY24 −¥785M
FY25 −¥989M

688660 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688660

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 67% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 73 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group (688660) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.21 versus a price of ¥8.88, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688660?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group is ¥2.21 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.88.
What is the quality score of 688660?
Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group (688660)?
Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688660?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Electric Wind Power Group is about -7.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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