Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc (688707) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥4.76 to ¥7.80 (+63.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range ¥7.92 – ¥77.69 · fair‑value band ¥6.52 – ¥9.06 · the ¥10.73 price screens above the ¥7.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc (688707) currently trades at ¥10.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.80, implying the stock looks roughly 27.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of -32.1%. Revenue declined 32.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 909M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.52 (bear case) to ¥9.06 (bull case); at ¥10.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -27%, 688707 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.38) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of lithium/sodium-ion battery positive electrode materials, solid electrolytes and their modified ternary, and other materials in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of lithium/sodium-ion battery positive electrode materials, solid electrolytes and their modified ternary, and other materials in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers lithium cobalt oxide, LCO/NCM hybrid cathod, and lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide, as well as lithium nickel manganese oxide products. Its products are used for new energy vehicles, electric two- and three-wheeled vehicles, energy storage and low-altitude economy, and other fields. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Zhenhua New Material Co.,LTD and changed its name to Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. in May 2018. Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Guiyang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥5.5B in FY2021, a compound −28.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥432M in FY2025.
688707 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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