Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc ¥9.38, price ¥10.28, upside -8.8%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.92 – ¥77.69 · fair‑value band ¥7.50 – ¥11.84 · the ¥10.28 price screens above the ¥9.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of lithium/sodium-ion battery positive electrode materials, solid electrolytes and their modified ternary, and other materials in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of lithium/sodium-ion battery positive electrode materials, solid electrolytes and their modified ternary, and other materials in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers lithium cobalt oxide, LCO/NCM hybrid cathod, and lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide, as well as lithium nickel manganese oxide products. Its products are used for new energy vehicles, electric two- and three-wheeled vehicles, energy storage and low-altitude economy, and other fields. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Zhenhua New Material Co.,LTD and changed its name to Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. in May 2018. Guizhou Zhenhua E-chem Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Guiyang, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707) currently trades at ¥10.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.38, implying the stock looks roughly 9.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.38 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥10.28 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.34, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥7.50 (bear) to ¥11.84 (bull), the price of ¥10.28 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −28.7%/yr. Reported net income was −432M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.2B CNY (≈ $781M) · P/S ratio 4.07 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.8500 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −30.3% · Return on equity −10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin −47.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −9%, 688707 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥7.50Fair Value ¥9.38Bull ¥11.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−53.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.7% (2020) → −31.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.5% a year for the price.
Compare Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 358 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−32% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−48% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−33% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688707
Frequently asked questions
Is Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.38 versus a price of ¥10.28, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 688707?
Our model-based fair value for Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is ¥9.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.28.
What is the quality score of 688707?
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.50, optimistic scenario ¥11.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.38, about −9% upside versus a price of ¥10.28 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥7.50, optimistic scenario ¥11.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc pay a dividend?
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +32.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688707 use?
Our models discount Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc that is +32.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc grew +6.6 % a year. The price currently implies +32.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (+32.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.58 %: that much free cash flow Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc it is ¥9.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥10.28. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 688707 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.28, fair value ¥9.38, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688707?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.38). For Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc the two are ¥0.9000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc worth?
The market values Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc at about 5.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.28; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688707?
Our models span a range for Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc: cautious scenario ¥7.50, base ¥9.38, optimistic ¥11.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥10.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.5%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688707 from its 52-week high?
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc trades at ¥10.28, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥18.36 and 8% above the low of ¥9.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Zhejiang Juhua Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥10.28, calculated fair value ¥9.38 (−9%), Quality Score 46/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688707 calculated?
We run Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥9.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥10.28. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.38, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The market capitalisation of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is 5.2B CNY (≈ $781M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is 4.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Earnings per share at Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc are ¥−0.8500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The dividend yield of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The net margin of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is −30.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is −10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
The operating margin of Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is −47.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Revenue at Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc is growing −32.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −53.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707)?
Earnings per share at Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc are growing −76.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc (688707) hold?
Guizhou Zhenhua E chem Inc holds more cash than debt, 909M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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