HG Semiconductor Limited (6908) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$446M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2640 – HK$8.51 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3200 · the HK$0.3750 price screens above the HK$0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
HG Semiconductor Limited (6908) currently trades at HK$0.3750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2600, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$97.8M. Revenue grew 57.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.8%. Net debt stands at HK$1.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1800 (bear case) to HK$0.3200 (bull case); at HK$0.3750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -31%, 6908 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HG Semiconductor Limited, an investment holding company, engages in designing, developing, manufacturing, subcontracting, and selling of semiconductor products in the People's Republic of China. The company offers light emitting diode beads, gallium nitride (GaN) chips, and GaN components and related application products.
Full company description
HG Semiconductor Limited, an investment holding company, engages in designing, developing, manufacturing, subcontracting, and selling of semiconductor products in the People's Republic of China. The company offers light emitting diode beads, gallium nitride (GaN) chips, and GaN components and related application products. It is also involved in the research and development of charging solutions for battery system; provision of technical development, consultation, and promotional services; and research and development services. The company's products are used in consumer and automotive electronics, data centers, renewable energy, and industrial applications. It serves manufacturers of small and medium sized backlight LED modules/panels, LCD panels, and other electronics products. The company was formerly known as HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to HG Semiconductor Limited in September 2021. HG Semiconductor Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HG Semiconductor Limited reported revenue of HK$97.8M in FY2025 versus HK$126M in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$113M in FY2025.
6908 screens 31% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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