Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd TWD 57.05, price TWD 67.10, upside -15.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range 67.00 TWD – 176.08 TWD · fair‑value band 43.81 TWD – 70.92 TWD · the 67.10 TWD price screens above the 57.05 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of footwear products. The company offers athletic, leather, and casual shoes, as well as sports equipment. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.
Stock analysis
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965) currently trades at 67.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 57.05 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 63.42 TWD per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the 67.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 28.54 TWD, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 43.81 TWD (bear) to 70.92 TWD (bull), the price of 67.10 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd reported revenue of 21.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 15.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 537M TWD in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.8B TWD (≈ $370M) · P/E ratio 39.7 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) 1.69 TWD · Dividend yield 7.5% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 49% fair-value upside, at −15%, 6965 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 43.81 TWDFair Value 57.05 TWDBull 70.92 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 2%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.1% a year for the price.
Compare Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 95 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−15% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 57.05 TWD versus a price of 67.10 TWD, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6965?
Our model-based fair value for Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 57.05 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 67.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6965?
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 57.05 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 43.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 70.92 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 57.05 TWD, about −15% upside versus a price of 67.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 43.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 70.92 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +24.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6965 use?
Our models discount Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd that is +24.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies +24.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (+24.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.83 %: that much free cash flow Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd it is 57.05 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 67.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6965 trades above its calculated fair value: price 67.10 TWD, fair value 57.05 TWD, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6965?
No. The price is what the market pays today (67.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (57.05 TWD). For Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd the two are 10.05 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd at about 11.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 67.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 57.05 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6965?
Our models span a range for Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd: cautious scenario 43.81 TWD, base 57.05 TWD, optimistic 70.92 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 67.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6965?
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 57.05 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 10.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6965 from its 52-week high?
Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd trades at 67.10 TWD, about 32% below its 52-week high of 98.00 TWD and at the low of 67.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 57.05 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, On Holding, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 67.10 TWD, calculated fair value 57.05 TWD (−15%), Quality Score 49/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6965 calculated?
We run Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 57.05 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 67.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 57.05 TWD, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The market capitalisation of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 11.8B TWD (≈ $370M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 0.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Earnings per share at Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd are 1.69 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The dividend yield of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 7.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The net margin of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
The operating margin of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Revenue at Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is growing −21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965)?
Earnings per share at Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd are growing −80.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd (6965) carry?
The net debt of Chung Jye Investment Holding Co., Ltd is 1.1B TWD (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 5.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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