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eBroker Group Ltd (8036) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of eBroker Group Ltd HK$0.05, price HK$0.05, upside -7.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK · ISIN KYG292091066

EG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

eBroker Group Ltd

8036 · HK

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value HK$0.0454 · Fairly valued (−7.4%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.8% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.1200 HK$0.0210 Fair Value HK$0.0454 Oct 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0210 – HK$0.1200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0403 – HK$0.0505 · the HK$0.0490 price screens above the HK$0.0454 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

eBroker Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial software solution services in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and Mainland China. The company offers front offices solution services, back-office solution services, installation and customization services, managed cloud services, and other services.

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eBroker Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial software solution services in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and Mainland China. The company offers front offices solution services, back-office solution services, installation and customization services, managed cloud services, and other services. It also provides institution desk solutions, wealth management solutions, fund admin solution, low latency HFT solutions, eBroker cloud services, HKEx market data services, advanced trading solutions, and customized financial projects; and eBrAIny, an AI technology which can be applied in investments in various asset classes including stocks, commodities, futures, FX, and cryptocurrencies. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of automated and electronics trading solutions, as well as computer maintenance services; development of the electronics trading systems for brokerage; research and development activities; and selling of computer products. It serves financial institutions comprising brokerage firms, proprietary trading firms, and management wealth companies. eBroker Group Limited was founded in 2000 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

eBroker Group Ltd (8036) currently trades at HK$0.0490, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0454, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.9%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0400 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.0490 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0300, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0403 (bear) to HK$0.0505 (bull), the price of HK$0.0490 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

eBroker Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$27.1M in FY2025 versus HK$41.6M in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$3.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$56.2M (≈ $7.2M) · P/S ratio 1.61 · Net margin −13.8% · Return on equity −6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% · Operating margin −40.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$27.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −15.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 133% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −7%, 8036 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0403 Fair Value HK$0.0454 Bull HK$0.0505
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 80
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.1% (2020) → −23.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 696 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −7.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −13.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −40.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 3.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €185.92 €172.46 −7%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $234.02 $342.73 +46%
Shopify Inc SHOP $144.01 $64.36 −55%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $135.62 $149.18 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.36 $103.69 +49%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.31 $74.36 −77%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $261.80 $150.01 −43%
Adobe Inc ADBE $235.47 $454.04 +93%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $268.70 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $326.70 $225.48 −31%

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eBroker Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0454 −7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "eBroker Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8036

Frequently asked questions

Is eBroker Group Ltd (8036) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0454 versus a price of HK$0.0490, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 8036?
Our model-based fair value for eBroker Group Ltd is HK$0.0454 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0490.
What is the quality score of 8036?
eBroker Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0454 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0403, optimistic scenario HK$0.0505. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the eBroker Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0454, about −7% upside versus a price of HK$0.0490 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0403, optimistic scenario HK$0.0505. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
eBroker Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, eBroker Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8036 use?
Our models discount eBroker Group Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For eBroker Group Ltd that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has eBroker Group Ltd (8036) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at eBroker Group Ltd grew -7.7 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of eBroker Group Ltd (8036) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into eBroker Group Ltd (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.95 %: that much free cash flow eBroker Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For eBroker Group Ltd it is HK$0.0454 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0490. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is eBroker Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8036 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0490, fair value HK$0.0454, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8036?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0490); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0454). For eBroker Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0036 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is eBroker Group Ltd worth?
The market values eBroker Group Ltd at about HK$56.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0490; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0454 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8036?
Our models span a range for eBroker Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0403, base HK$0.0454, optimistic HK$0.0505 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0490). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
Balance-sheet figures for eBroker Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −6.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8036 from its 52-week high?
eBroker Group Ltd trades at HK$0.0490, about 6% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0520 and 133% above the low of HK$0.0210 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0454 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to eBroker Group Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is eBroker Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0490, calculated fair value HK$0.0454 (−7%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8036 calculated?
We run eBroker Group Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0454, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. eBroker Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0490. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0454, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with eBroker Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of eBroker Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The market capitalisation of eBroker Group Ltd is HK$56.2M (≈ $7.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The price-to-sales ratio of eBroker Group Ltd is 1.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The net margin of eBroker Group Ltd is −13.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The return on equity (ROE) of eBroker Group Ltd is −6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of eBroker Group Ltd is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
The operating margin of eBroker Group Ltd is −40.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
Revenue at eBroker Group Ltd is growing −15.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at eBroker Group Ltd (8036)?
Earnings per share at eBroker Group Ltd are growing −50.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does eBroker Group Ltd (8036) hold?
eBroker Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$14.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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