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Comtrend Corporation (8089) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 1.2B TWD

CC Comtrend Corporation 8089 · TWO
Price18.15 TWD
Fair Value32.18 TWD
Upside+77.3%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -48.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Medium Range 22.87 TWD – 41.49 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −9.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 77% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (22.87 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (22.87 TWD to 41.49 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

147.00 TWD 18.10 TWD Fair Value 32.18 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.10 TWD – 147.00 TWD · fair‑value band 22.87 TWD – 41.49 TWD · the 18.15 TWD price screens below the 32.18 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Comtrend Corporation (8089) currently trades at 18.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.18 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Comtrend Corporation generated revenue of 532M TWD at a net margin of -48.9%. Revenue declined 75.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 76.2M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 22.87 TWD (bear case) to 41.49 TWD (bull case); at 18.15 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 77%, 8089 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 34.95 TWD 41.55 TWD 51.78 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 32.52 TWD 41.97 TWD 53.63 TWD 74
Gordon GGM 8.63 TWD 9.31 TWD 10.31 TWD 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 34.21 TWD 41.17 TWD 52.86 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 32.52 TWD 41.36 TWD 54.19 TWD 39
10Y Revenue Exit 32.65 TWD 38.84 TWD 45.38 TWD 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8.63 TWD 9.31 TWD 10.31 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 8.63 TWD 10.28 TWD 12.40 TWD 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue 32.99 TWD 42.29 TWD 51.60 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.39 TWD 11.25 TWD 16.79 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 34.95 TWD 41.55 TWD 51.78 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 32.52 TWD 41.97 TWD 53.63 TWD 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (42.29 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (9.31 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 532M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -75.0%
Net margin -48.9%
Return on equity -21.4%
Free cash flow 187M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -74.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -3.09 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +701%
Net cash 76.2M TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Comtrend Corporation engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of broadband communication equipment in Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Comtrend Corporation engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of broadband communication equipment in Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers fiber solutions, such as GPON and XGS-PON; VDSL, including one GE port gateway and home gateway; ethernet that provides wireless routers and VoIP; home networking; coax MDU/CPE; remote management; and powerline module solutions. It also provides wireless extenders, switches, PoE solutions, and security surveillance systems. Comtrend Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Comtrend Corporation reported revenue of 819M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −204M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
819M TWD
Latest YoY
−79.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Revenue −16.2%/yr
FY21 1.7B TWD
FY22 1.9B TWD
FY23 889M TWD
FY24 3.9B TWD
FY25 819M TWD
Net income
FY21 −26.1M TWD
FY22 9.3M TWD
FY23 −346M TWD
FY24 486M TWD
FY25 −204M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Comtrend Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8089

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 286 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +77% · Top 25%
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -49% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -75% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -75% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 92 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Comtrend Corporation (8089) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.18 TWD versus a price of 18.15 TWD, about +77% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8089?
Our model-based fair value for Comtrend Corporation is 32.18 TWD (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 18.15 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8089?
Comtrend Corporation has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Comtrend Corporation (8089)?
Comtrend Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 532M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8089?
The net profit margin of Comtrend Corporation is about -48.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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