8196 (8196) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$41.3M

8 8196 8196 · HK

PriceHK$0.6500

Fair ValueHK$0.2200

Upside-66.2%

Quality50/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1700 – HK$0.2800

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Share price −29.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.5100 – HK$1.59 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.2800 · the HK$0.6500 price screens above the HK$0.2200 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8196 (8196) currently trades at HK$0.6500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2200 — implying the stock looks roughly 66.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8196 generated revenue of HK$131M at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 153.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$26.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$131M

Revenue growth (YoY) +153%

Net margin 0.5%

Return on equity 1.3%

Free cash flow −HK$25.9M FY2025

P/E ratio 32.5

More key figures

Operating margin 5.4%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600

EPS growth (YoY) +62.5%

Net cash HK$26.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8196 reported revenue of HK$131M in FY2025 versus HK$118M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$583K in FY2025.

Revenue +2.5%/yr

FY21 HK$118M

FY22 HK$257M

FY23 HK$107M

FY24 HK$45.8M

FY25 HK$131M

Net income

FY21 −HK$17.0M

FY22 −HK$11.5M

FY23 HK$2.9M

FY24 −HK$7.0M

FY25 HK$583K

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8196 (8196) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2200 versus a price of HK$0.6500 — about −66% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 8196?

Our model-based fair value for 8196 is HK$0.2200 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.6500.

What is the quality score of 8196?

8196 has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 8196 (8196)?

8196 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$131M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 8196?

The net profit margin of 8196 is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.