8406 (8406) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$124M
Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price +78.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.0450 – HK$0.1270 · fair‑value band HK$0.0446 – HK$0.0719 · the HK$0.0910 price screens above the HK$0.0537 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.
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8406 (8406) currently trades at HK$0.0910, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0537 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, 8406 generated revenue of HK$168M at a net margin of -25.5%. Revenue declined 45.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$22.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
8406 reported revenue of HK$168M in FY2025 versus HK$295M in FY2021, a compound −13.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$42.7M in FY2025.
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| 9992 9992 | HK$153.40 | HK$237.11 | +55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.