Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3050 – HK$2.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1100 · the HK$0.5350 price screens above the HK$0.0900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides after-market automotive services in Singapore and the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: After-market Automotive Services, Car Rental Services, and Automotive Supply Business.
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Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides after-market automotive services in Singapore and the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: After-market Automotive Services, Car Rental Services, and Automotive Supply Business. The After-market Automotive Services segment provides inspection, maintenance, and repair services. The Car Rental Services segment offers car rental services. The Automotive Supply Business segment trades in motor vehicles; and supplies passenger car spare parts, accessories, and automotive equipment. It also engages in the provision of franchise agency services, as well as spray painting services for motor vehicles; online marketplaces; supply of green environmental protection water energy technology; and trading of motor vehicles. Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418) currently trades at HK$0.5350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 494.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0800 per share, and 0 of the 18 models we run sit above the HK$0.5350 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0100, and 18 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0700 (bear) to HK$0.1100 (bull), the price of HK$0.5350 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd reported revenue of 49.4M SGD in FY2025 versus 57.1M SGD in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 106K SGD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$748M (≈ $95.4M) · P/S ratio 15.1 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.1% · Operating margin 0.9% · Revenue (TTM) 49.4M SGD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −83%, 8418 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.0100 to HK$0.0800). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$0.0700Fair Value HK$0.0900Bull HK$0.1100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−43.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.5% (2016) → −7.2% (2019)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 652 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−61% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−50% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B14.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF146.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)7· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8418
Frequently asked questions
Is Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0900 versus a price of HK$0.5350, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8418?
Our model-based fair value for Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is HK$0.0900 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5350.
What is the quality score of 8418?
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0900 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0700, optimistic scenario HK$0.1100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0900, about −83% upside versus a price of HK$0.5350 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0700, optimistic scenario HK$0.1100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 49.4M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd pay a dividend?
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8418 use?
Our models discount Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd at 15.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 2.01, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd grew +17.3 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.14 %: that much free cash flow Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd it is HK$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5350. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 8418 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5350, fair value HK$0.0900, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8418?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0900). For Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.4450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd at about HK$748M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5350; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8418?
Our models span a range for Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0700, base HK$0.0900, optimistic HK$0.1100 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.5350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
Balance-sheet figures for Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8418 from its 52-week high?
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.5350, about 79% below its 52-week high of HK$2.50 and 43% above the low of HK$0.3750 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.5350, calculated fair value HK$0.0900 (−83%), Quality Score 67/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8418 calculated?
We run Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was HK$0.5350. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0900, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The market capitalisation of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is HK$748M (≈ $95.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is 15.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The dividend yield of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The net margin of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is 21.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
The operating margin of Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
Revenue at Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd is growing −49.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418)?
Earnings per share at Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd are growing −37.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd (8418) hold?
Optima Automobile Group Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 2.7M SGD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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