Optima Automobile Group (8418) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$748M
Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from HK$0.0300 to HK$0.2200 (+633.3%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −17.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1200 to HK$0.3800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3050 – HK$2.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.1200 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.6400 price screens above the HK$0.2200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
Analysis
Optima Automobile Group (8418) currently trades at HK$0.6400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 65.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Optima Automobile Group generated revenue of HK$49.4M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 49.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1200 (bear case) to HK$0.3800 (bull case); at HK$0.6400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -66%, 8418 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 19 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3520) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0440). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides after-market automotive services in Singapore and the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: After-market Automotive Services, Car Rental Services, and Automotive Supply Business.
Full company description
Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides after-market automotive services in Singapore and the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: After-market Automotive Services, Car Rental Services, and Automotive Supply Business. The After-market Automotive Services segment provides inspection, maintenance, and repair services. The Car Rental Services segment offers car rental services. The Automotive Supply Business segment trades in motor vehicles; and supplies passenger car spare parts, accessories, and automotive equipment. It also engages in the provision of franchise agency services, as well as spray painting services for motor vehicles; online marketplaces; supply of green environmental protection water energy technology; and trading of motor vehicles. Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Optima Automobile Group reported revenue of HK$49.4M in FY2025 versus HK$57.1M in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$106K in FY2025.
8418 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 644 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
Compare Optima Automobile Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Optima Automobile Group (8418) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 8418?
What is the quality score of 8418?
What is the revenue of Optima Automobile Group (8418)?
What is the net profit margin of 8418?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Optima Automobile Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.