EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

WINSON HLDGS HK (8421) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of WINSON HLDGS HK HK$0.65, price HK$0.25, upside +160.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK

WH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

WINSON HLDGS HK

8421 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.6500 · Strongly undervalued (+160.0%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.6% net margin (TTM)
✓8.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 19 out of 100
Watch WINSON HLDGS HK for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.4724 HK$0.0888 Fair Value HK$0.6500 Dec 2019 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0888 – HK$0.4724 · fair‑value band HK$0.4500 – HK$0.8900 · the HK$0.2500 price screens below the HK$0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

Follow WINSON HLDGS HK in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether WINSON HLDGS HK is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Winson Holdings Hong Kong Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental hygiene and related, and airline catering support services in Hong Kong.

Show more

Winson Holdings Hong Kong Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental hygiene and related, and airline catering support services in Hong Kong. It offers environmental hygiene services, including public area and office cleaning, and waste disposal, as well as specialized services, such as external curtain wall and window cleaning, marble floor maintenance and restoration, intensive cleaning, and pest control services etc. to residential, commercial and shopping complexes, public utilities, transportation systems, and government bodies. The company also provides pest control services comprising indoor pest management and rodent prevention, and control services that involve spraying of pesticides and fogging treatment, etc. to a range of customers, including government departments, educational institutes, public utilities, transportation systems, and residential, commercial and shopping complexes. In addition, it offers airline catering support services consisting of plating of meals, tray-setting, dry store packing and internal logistic for equipment flow, etc. at flight kitchens of airline catering operators. Further, the company provides property holding services. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong. Winson Holdings Hong Kong Limited is a subsidiary of Sze's Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

WINSON HLDGS HK (8421) currently trades at HK$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 61.5% undervalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6800 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.2500 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1500, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.4500 (bear) to HK$0.8900 (bull), the price of HK$0.2500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

WINSON HLDGS HK reported revenue of HK$570M in FY2020 versus HK$450M in FY2016, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$20.7M in FY2020, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap HK$348M (≈ $44.4M) · P/E ratio 12.0 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0387 · Dividend yield 8.0% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 16.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 160%, 8421 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.4500 Fair Value HK$0.6500 Bull HK$0.8900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.6000 HK$0.8800 78
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8100 75
Owner Earnings HK$0.5100 HK$0.7500 HK$1.09 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.6000 HK$0.8800 78
Owner Earnings HK$0.5100 HK$0.7500 HK$1.09 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4400 HK$0.6700 HK$0.9600 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4800 HK$0.7500 HK$1.07 72
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.5000 HK$0.7900 HK$1.09 68
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.6200 HK$0.9000 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4500 HK$0.6800 HK$0.9700 65
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.4700 HK$0.7000 HK$0.9900 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.2300 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9900 64
Lynch FV HK$0.1600 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 57
EPV HK$0.3900 HK$0.4400 HK$0.4800 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.5400 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.4400 HK$0.5900 HK$0.7300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.4400 HK$0.5900 HK$0.7300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.6300 HK$0.8200 HK$1.00 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.5800 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9100 64
EV/Revenue HK$0.4700 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8100 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2200 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8100 75
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4400 HK$0.6700 HK$0.9300 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2200 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4100 70
ROIC Compounder HK$0.4100 HK$0.4900 HK$0.5900 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.4500 HK$0.6500 HK$0.8400 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when 8421 reaches fair value

Put 8421 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.5% (2015) → 4.6% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

Watch 8421, get fair value alerts →

Compare WINSON HLDGS HK with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 163 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +160.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.58× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)19 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)64 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $206.83 $227.51 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $211.92 $128.63 −39%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.56 $171.12 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.36 €20.32 −35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.27 $34.54 −18%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

WINSON HLDGS HK · Fair Value
HK$0.6500 +62%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WINSON HLDGS HK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8421

Frequently asked questions

Is WINSON HLDGS HK (8421) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6500 versus a price of HK$0.2500, about +160% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8421?
Our model-based fair value for WINSON HLDGS HK is HK$0.6500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2500.
What is the quality score of 8421?
WINSON HLDGS HK has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4500, optimistic scenario HK$0.8900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WINSON HLDGS HK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6500, about +160% upside versus a price of HK$0.2500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4500, optimistic scenario HK$0.8900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
WINSON HLDGS HK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$570M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does WINSON HLDGS HK pay a dividend?
WINSON HLDGS HK currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WINSON HLDGS HK it is HK$0.6500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2500. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WINSON HLDGS HK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8421 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2500, fair value HK$0.6500, a gap of about +160% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8421?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6500). For WINSON HLDGS HK the two are HK$0.4000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WINSON HLDGS HK worth?
The market values WINSON HLDGS HK at about HK$348M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8421?
Our models span a range for WINSON HLDGS HK: cautious scenario HK$0.4500, base HK$0.6500, optimistic HK$0.8900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8421?
WINSON HLDGS HK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.6500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
Balance-sheet figures for WINSON HLDGS HK (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 16.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8421 from its 52-week high?
WINSON HLDGS HK trades at HK$0.2500, about 23% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3250 and 52% above the low of HK$0.1642 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WINSON HLDGS HK?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WINSON HLDGS HK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2500, calculated fair value HK$0.6500 (+160%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8421 calculated?
We run WINSON HLDGS HK through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. WINSON HLDGS HK currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2500. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6500, about +160% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WINSON HLDGS HK right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4500 to HK$0.8900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of WINSON HLDGS HK

How large is the market capitalisation of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The market capitalisation of WINSON HLDGS HK is HK$348M (≈ $44.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The price-to-sales ratio of WINSON HLDGS HK is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
Earnings per share at WINSON HLDGS HK are HK$0.0387 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The dividend yield of WINSON HLDGS HK is 8.0% (payout 51.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The net margin of WINSON HLDGS HK is 3.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WINSON HLDGS HK is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WINSON HLDGS HK is 13.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
The operating margin of WINSON HLDGS HK is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
Revenue at WINSON HLDGS HK is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at WINSON HLDGS HK (8421)?
Earnings per share at WINSON HLDGS HK are growing −37.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed

Watch WINSON HLDGS HK in the live analysis

One click puts WINSON HLDGS HK on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.