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8495 (8495) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$91.4M

8 8495 8495 · HK
PriceHK$0.2380
Fair ValueHK$0.3500
Upside+47.1%
Quality60/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.3200 – HK$0.4100

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.4700 HK$0.1650 Fair Value HK$0.3500 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1650 – HK$0.4700 · fair‑value band HK$0.3200 – HK$0.4100 · the HK$0.2380 price screens below the HK$0.3500 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8495 (8495) currently trades at HK$0.2380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3500 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 8495 generated revenue of HK$436M at a net margin of -0.2%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.3%. Net debt stands at HK$70.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$436M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.1%
Net margin -0.2%
Return on equity -2.3%
Free cash flow HK$75.4M FY2025
Operating margin 4.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -44.9%
Net debt HK$70.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8495 reported revenue of HK$435M in FY2025 versus HK$394M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.0M in FY2025.

Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 HK$394M
FY22 HK$353M
FY23 HK$472M
FY24 HK$470M
FY25 HK$435M
Net income
FY21 HK$13.2M
FY22 −HK$533K
FY23 −HK$6.2M
FY24 −HK$1.2M
FY25 −HK$1.0M

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Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

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McDonald's Corporation MCD 4,928 MXN 2,845 MXN -42%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX C$27.68 C$5.93 -79%
Compass Group CMPGF $32.63 $24.90 -24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS C$12.49 C$6.55 -48%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $150.87 $71.29 -53%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $73.20 $42.90 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8495 (8495) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3500 versus a price of HK$0.2380 — about +47% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8495?
Our model-based fair value for 8495 is HK$0.3500 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2380.
What is the quality score of 8495?
8495 has a Quality Score of 60/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8495 (8495)?
8495 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$436M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8495?
The net profit margin of 8495 is about -0.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.