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1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd (8495) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$91.4M

1C 1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd 8495 · HK
PriceHK$0.2150
Fair ValueHK$0.3300
Upside+53.5%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.3100 – HK$0.4100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −20.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 53% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.5500 HK$0.1630 Fair Value HK$0.3300 Nov 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1630 – HK$0.5500 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.4100 · the HK$0.2150 price screens below the HK$0.3300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd (8495) currently trades at HK$0.2150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3300, implying the stock looks roughly 53.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd generated revenue of HK$436M at a net margin of -0.2%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.3%. Net debt stands at HK$70.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3100 (bear case) to HK$0.4100 (bull case); at HK$0.2150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at 53%, 8495 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.71 HK$2.14 HK$2.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.9700 HK$1.16 HK$1.39 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.3000 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3400 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.70 HK$2.17 HK$2.73 38
Owner Earnings HK$1.64 HK$2.10 HK$2.64 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.9700 HK$1.13 HK$1.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.80 HK$2.60 HK$3.49 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.29 HK$1.48 HK$1.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.73 HK$2.33 HK$3.05 37
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.3000 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3400 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.5100 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7400 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.13 HK$2.79 HK$3.45 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 HK$0.5900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.71 HK$2.14 HK$2.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.9700 HK$1.16 HK$1.39 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.3000 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3400 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.10) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$436M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.1%
Net margin -0.2%
Return on equity -2.3%
Free cash flow HK$75.4M FY2025
Operating margin 4.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -44.9%
Net debt HK$70.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

1957 & Co. (Hospitality) Limited, an investment holding company, operates full service restaurants in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides catering management and consultancy services.

Full company description

1957 & Co. (Hospitality) Limited, an investment holding company, operates full service restaurants in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides catering management and consultancy services. The company operates restaurants under self-owned brands, including An Nam, Modern Shanghai, 10 Shanghai, Modern Shanghai Imperial, Akanoshou, and Hokkaidon; and franchised or sublicensed brands, such as Mango Tree, Gonpachi, and Paper Moon. 1957 & Co. (Hospitality) Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. 1957 & Co. (Hospitality) Limited is a subsidiary of Real Hero Ventures Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd reported revenue of HK$435M in FY2025 versus HK$394M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$435M
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 HK$394M
FY22 HK$353M
FY23 HK$472M
FY24 HK$470M
FY25 HK$435M
Net income
FY21 HK$13.2M
FY22 −HK$533K
FY23 −HK$6.2M
FY24 −HK$1.2M
FY25 −HK$1.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8495

Peer Group

Restaurants · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +54% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 71

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCDS C$24.01 C$10.84 -55%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $108.49 $35.83 -67%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $32.00 $17.92 -44%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $150.34 $58.17 -61%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$104.50 C$36.37 -65%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $218.90 $173.68 -21%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $47.90 $54.27 +13%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $214.28 $104.89 -51%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $51.02 $12.80 -75%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $353.72 $227.31 -36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd (8495) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3300 versus a price of HK$0.2150, about +53% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8495?
Our model-based fair value for 1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd is HK$0.3300 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2150.
What is the quality score of 8495?
1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of 1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd (8495)?
1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$436M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8495?
The net profit margin of 1957 & Co Hospitality Ltd is about -0.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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