Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Jia Group Holdings Limited HK$0.32, price HK$0.27, upside +18.5%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1120 – HK$5.76 · fair‑value band HK$0.2400 – HK$0.4000 · the HK$0.2700 price screens below the HK$0.3200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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XinXiang Era Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates restaurants in Hong Kong. Its restaurants serve various range of cuisines. The company operates restaurants under the Duddell Airport, Louise, and Ando.
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XinXiang Era Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates restaurants in Hong Kong. Its restaurants serve various range of cuisines. The company operates restaurants under the Duddell Airport, Louise, and Ando. It also sells goods; and offers catering, club membership, and restaurant consultancy and other services, as well as holding of trademarks. The company was formerly known as Jia Group Holdings Limited and changed its name to XinXiang Era Group Company Limited in March 2024. XinXiang Era Group Company Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519) currently trades at HK$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5200 per share, and 14 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$0.2700 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1200, and 7 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2400 (bear) to HK$0.4000 (bull), the price of HK$0.2700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Jia Group Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$206M in FY2025 versus HK$221M in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$49.3M (≈ $6.3M) · P/E ratio 17.0 · P/S ratio 0.17 · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity −35,087% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7% · Operating margin 5.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$161M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 19%, 8519 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2400Fair Value HK$0.3200Bull HK$0.4000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.9% (2020) → 2.6% (2025)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−26.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −28.1% a year for the price.
Compare Jia Group Holdings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 214 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+18.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets18.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−37.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jia Group Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8519
Frequently asked questions
Is Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3200 versus a price of HK$0.2700, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8519?
Our model-based fair value for Jia Group Holdings Limited is HK$0.3200 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2700.
What is the quality score of 8519?
Jia Group Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3200 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.4000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jia Group Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3200, about +19% upside versus a price of HK$0.2700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.4000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
Jia Group Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$161M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jia Group Holdings Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -26.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8519 use?
Our models discount Jia Group Holdings Limited at 12.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 3.05, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jia Group Holdings Limited that is -26.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jia Group Holdings Limited grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies -26.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jia Group Holdings Limited (-26.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.39 %: that much free cash flow Jia Group Holdings Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jia Group Holdings Limited it is HK$0.3200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2700. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jia Group Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8519 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2700, fair value HK$0.3200, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8519?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3200). For Jia Group Holdings Limited the two are HK$0.0500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jia Group Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Jia Group Holdings Limited at about HK$49.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2700; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8519?
Our models span a range for Jia Group Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.2400, base HK$0.3200, optimistic HK$0.4000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8519?
Jia Group Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How far is 8519 from its 52-week high?
Jia Group Holdings Limited trades at HK$0.2700, about 43% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4760 and 58% above the low of HK$0.1710 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jia Group Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jia Group Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2700, calculated fair value HK$0.3200 (+19%), Quality Score 73/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8519 calculated?
We run Jia Group Holdings Limited through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Jia Group Holdings Limited currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2700. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3200, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jia Group Holdings Limited right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Jia Group Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The market capitalisation of Jia Group Holdings Limited is HK$49.3M (≈ $6.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jia Group Holdings Limited is 0.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The net margin of Jia Group Holdings Limited is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jia Group Holdings Limited is −35,087% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jia Group Holdings Limited is 14.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
The operating margin of Jia Group Holdings Limited is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
Revenue at Jia Group Holdings Limited is growing −37.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519)?
Earnings per share at Jia Group Holdings Limited are growing +31.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Jia Group Holdings Limited (8519) hold?
Jia Group Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$4.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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