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JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of JLogo Holdings Ltd HK$0.21, price HK$0.44, upside -52.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026
JLogo Holdings Ltd
8527 · HKStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value HK$0.2100 · Strongly overvalued (−52.3%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/8)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0870 – HK$3.46 · fair‑value band HK$0.1600 – HK$0.2600 · the HK$0.4400 price screens above the HK$0.2100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
JLogo Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages restaurants in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through two segments, Dining Operations and Artisanal Bakery.
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JLogo Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages restaurants in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through two segments, Dining Operations and Artisanal Bakery. The company operates restaurants under the Happy Lili Hong Kong Café, Black Society, and Tivoli Coffee House brands; and artisanal dimsum café under MASA by Black Society brand. It also provides food and beverage services. In addition, the company's bakery retail outlets provide breads, pastries, cakes, and flour confectionery products under the Bread Story brand. JLogo Holdings Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527) currently trades at HK$0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2100, 52.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2200 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.4400 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.1500, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1600 (bear) to HK$0.2600 (bull), the price of HK$0.4400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
JLogo Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 11.2M SGD in FY2025 versus 13.2M SGD in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.5M SGD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$220M (≈ $28.0M) · P/S ratio 10.5 · Net margin −13.4% · Return on equity −149% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.6% · Operating margin −12.9% · Revenue (TTM) 11.2M SGD · Revenue growth (YoY) −19.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 344% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −52%, 8527 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1600
Fair Value HK$0.2100
Bull HK$0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
HK$0.1800
HK$0.2600
HK$0.3900
80
Growth DCF
HK$0.1900
HK$0.2600
HK$0.3800
79
Owner Earnings
HK$0.1500
HK$0.2200
HK$0.3300
76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
HK$0.1800
HK$0.2600
HK$0.3900
80
Owner Earnings
HK$0.1500
HK$0.2200
HK$0.3300
76
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1800
HK$0.2500
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
HK$0.1600
HK$0.2400
HK$0.3400
75
10Y Revenue Exit
HK$0.1500
HK$0.1900
HK$0.2300
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
HK$0.1700
HK$0.2200
HK$0.2700
70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
HK$0.1700
HK$0.2300
HK$0.3000
67
EV/Revenue
HK$0.1000
HK$0.1500
HK$0.2000
53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
HK$0.1900
HK$0.2600
HK$0.3800
79
Rev-Margin DCF
HK$0.1300
HK$0.1800
HK$0.2600
73
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Profitability
50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.3% (2020) → −11.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in SGD, Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.0% a year for the price.
8527 screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Compare JLogo Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 214 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCD | $233.60 | $162.81 | −30% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $94.86 | $35.83 | −62% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $31.33 | $34.46 | +10% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $138.28 | $76.78 | −44% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | $71.48 | $73.34 | +3% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $199.75 | $175.20 | −12% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $40.80 | $50.76 | +24% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $158.45 | $128.55 | −19% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $301.81 | $233.22 | −23% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $37.89 | $10.27 | −73% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2100 versus a price of HK$0.4400, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8527?
Our model-based fair value for JLogo Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2100 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4400.
What is the quality score of 8527?
JLogo Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2100 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1600, optimistic scenario HK$0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JLogo Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2100, about −52% upside versus a price of HK$0.4400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1600, optimistic scenario HK$0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
JLogo Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JLogo Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8527 use?
Our models discount JLogo Holdings Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JLogo Holdings Ltd that is +17.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JLogo Holdings Ltd grew -3.1 % a year. The price currently implies +17.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JLogo Holdings Ltd (+17.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.92 %: that much free cash flow JLogo Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JLogo Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2100 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4400. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JLogo Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8527 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4400, fair value HK$0.2100, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8527?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2100). For JLogo Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JLogo Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values JLogo Holdings Ltd at about HK$220M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4400; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8527?
Our models span a range for JLogo Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1600, base HK$0.2100, optimistic HK$0.2600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
Balance-sheet figures for JLogo Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8527 from its 52-week high?
JLogo Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4400, at its 52-week high of HK$0.4400 and 344% above the low of HK$0.0990 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JLogo Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JLogo Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4400, calculated fair value HK$0.2100 (−52%), Quality Score 52/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8527 calculated?
We run JLogo Holdings Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. JLogo Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4400. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2100, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JLogo Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of JLogo Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The market capitalisation of JLogo Holdings Ltd is HK$220M (≈ $28.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JLogo Holdings Ltd is 10.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The net margin of JLogo Holdings Ltd is −13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JLogo Holdings Ltd is −149% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JLogo Holdings Ltd is −20.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
The operating margin of JLogo Holdings Ltd is −12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527)?
Revenue at JLogo Holdings Ltd is growing −19.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does JLogo Holdings Ltd (8527) carry?
The net debt of JLogo Holdings Ltd is 6.8M SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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