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AECI Ltd (87FZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 546M GBX

AL AECI Ltd 87FZ · LSE
Price£0.0066
Fair Value£0.0105
Upside+59.1%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range £0.0113 – £0.0140 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from £0.0121 to £0.0105 (−12.9%) since Jul 29, 2026.

A solid business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.0113). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£0.6600 £0.0066 Fair Value £0.0105 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.0066 – £0.6600 · fair‑value band £0.0113 – £0.0140 · the £0.0066 price screens below the £0.0105 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

AECI Ltd (87FZ) currently trades at £0.0066, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0105, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AECI Ltd generated revenue of £32.2B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at £503M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.0113 (bear case) to £0.0140 (bull case); at £0.0066, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 59%, 87FZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £15.40 £20.83 £27.57 80
Residual Income £9.49 £9.07 £7.19 76
Rev-Margin DCF £16.22 £25.05 £35.12 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £15.29 £21.51 £29.73 38
Owner Earnings £8.66 £12.00 £16.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit £16.22 £25.00 £36.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £23.37 £38.30 £55.64 41
5Y P/E Exit £10.22 £13.87 £17.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit £15.24 £22.68 £32.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £19.83 £31.08 £46.00 37
10Y P/E Exit £12.18 £15.64 £19.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £3.00 £9.06 £12.02 54
Lynch FV £1.93 £2.76 £3.59 50
PEG = 1.0 £1.93 £2.76 £3.59 46
EPV £8.34 £9.35 £10.19 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.45 £2.61 £3.60 70
DDM Multi-Stage £1.45 £2.23 £2.79 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £6.62 £8.82 £11.03 63
P/S Multiple £5.62 £7.50 £9.37 58
P/B Multiple £5.62 £7.50 £9.37 55
EV/EBIT £25.86 £34.15 £42.45 53
EV/EBITDA £32.50 £43.01 £53.52 54
EV/Revenue £17.74 £24.93 £32.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £6.92 £9.27 £13.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £15.40 £20.83 £27.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF £16.22 £25.05 £35.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £9.49 £9.07 £7.19 76
ROIC Compounder £8.34 £9.35 £10.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £5.44 £7.78 £10.11 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£21.51) versus Dividend Discount (£2.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 32.2B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow 1.3B GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 0.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.9%
EPS (TTM) £56.90
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.7%
Net debt 503M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AECI Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services for mining, water treatment, plant and animal health, food and beverage, manufacturing, and general industrial sectors. The company operates through four segments: AECI Mining, AECI Chemicals, AECI Managed Businesses, and AECI Property Services and Corporate.

Full company description

AECI Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services for mining, water treatment, plant and animal health, food and beverage, manufacturing, and general industrial sectors. The company operates through four segments: AECI Mining, AECI Chemicals, AECI Managed Businesses, and AECI Property Services and Corporate. The AECI Mining segment provides mine-to-mineral solutions for the mining sector, which includes commercial explosives, initiating systems, and blasting services, as well as surfactants for explosives manufacture. The AECI Chemicals segment supplies industrial and speciality chemical products; water treatment chemicals; and technology, equipment, and plant and crop protection products, as well as plant nutrients. The AECI Managed Businesses segment supplies products and services to customers in agriculture, industrial, manufacturing, road infrastructure, food and beverage, public water, and animal feed and products, as well as the textile sector. The AECI Property Services and Corporate segment offers property leasing and management services in the office, industrial, and retail sectors. It operates in South Africa, rest of the African continent, Europe, Asia, North America, South America, and Australia. AECI Ltd was founded in 1894 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AECI Ltd reported revenue of £32.2B in FY2025 versus £26.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was £366M in FY2025, compounding −25.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£32.2B
Latest YoY
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 £26.1B
FY22 £35.6B
FY23 £37.5B
FY24 £33.6B
FY25 £32.2B
Net income −25.5%/yr
FY21 £1.2B
FY22 £930M
FY23 £1.2B
FY24 −£279M
FY25 £366M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.3 pp

of which total revenue +7.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.7 pp

EBIT margin −4.4 pp
Tax rate −4.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AECI Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/87FZ

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 11 · sector 23
HEALTH 86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
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PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AECI Ltd (87FZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0105 versus a price of £0.0066, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 87FZ?
Our model-based fair value for AECI Ltd is £0.0105 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.0066.
What is the quality score of 87FZ?
AECI Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AECI Ltd (87FZ)?
AECI Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £32.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 87FZ?
The net profit margin of AECI Ltd is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AECI Ltd pay a dividend?
AECI Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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