Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd (900915) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap $87.4M
Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from $0.0200 to $0.0300 (+50.0%) since Aug 7, 2026. Share price +34.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0200 to $0.0400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1700 – $1.38 · fair‑value band $0.0200 – $0.0400 · the $0.2720 price screens above the $0.0300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.
Analysis
Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd (900915) currently trades at $0.2720, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of -7.2%. Revenue declined 27.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.3%. Net debt stands at $2.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0200 (bear case) to $0.0400 (bull case); at $0.2720, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -89%, 900915 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.47) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells bicycles in China. The company offers bicycles and parts, power-assisted bicycles, baby carriages, manual wheelchairs, electric wheelchairs, and spare parts, electric tricycles, motorcycles and mopeds, other special vehicles, and other supporting products related to bicycles.
Full company description
Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells bicycles in China. The company offers bicycles and parts, power-assisted bicycles, baby carriages, manual wheelchairs, electric wheelchairs, and spare parts, electric tricycles, motorcycles and mopeds, other special vehicles, and other supporting products related to bicycles. It also involved in import and export of goods; research, production, and sales of bowling equipment and related products; sales of polyurethane plastic related materials; rental of bicycles and power-assisted bicycles; and general cargo warehousing services. In addition, the company engages in energy technology research and technology development services; wind energy prime mover equipment manufacturing; and software wholesale, leasing of non-residential real estate, as well as post-investment management of equity investments. It also exports its products. Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd was founded in 1940 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $722M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$57.3M in FY2025.
900915 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 192 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥45.50 | ¥39.73 | -13% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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