Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co (900916) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap $217M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $0.4502 to $0.4795 (+6.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +32.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $0.3609 (bear) to $0.5611 (bull), base $0.4795. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2240 – $0.5040 · fair‑value band $0.3609 – $0.5611 · the $0.5030 price screens above the $0.4795 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co (900916) currently trades at $0.5030, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4795, implying the stock looks roughly 4.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3609 (bear case) to $0.5611 (bull case); at $0.5030, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -5%, 900916 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($4.04) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. produces and sells bicycles under the Phoenix brand in China. It is also involved in real estate development and construction activities and quasi-financial business.
Full company description
Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. produces and sells bicycles under the Phoenix brand in China. It is also involved in real estate development and construction activities and quasi-financial business. The company offers mopeds, two-wheeled motorcycles, baby carriages, fitness equipment, bicycle industrial equipment and molds; operation and management of supporting products, properties, warehousing, and logistics. The company also exports its products to Europe, Latin America, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as Jinshan Development & Construction Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. in January 2016. Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $107M in FY2025, compounding +0.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
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| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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