Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co (900929) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap $120M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $0.8311 to $0.8337 (+0.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $0.6253 (bear) to $1.04 (bull), base $0.8337. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7900 – $1.70 · fair‑value band $0.6253 – $1.04 · the $0.9670 price screens above the $0.8337 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co (900929) currently trades at $0.9670, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8337, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co generated revenue of $924M at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 30.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6253 (bear case) to $1.04 (bull case); at $0.9670, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -14%, 900929 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($6.01) versus Earnings-Based ($1.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides tourism and related services in China and internationally. It operates through Tourism and Property segments. The company offers domestic, outbound, inbound, and educational tourism services for overseas tourists and Chinese citizens.
Full company description
Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides tourism and related services in China and internationally. It operates through Tourism and Property segments. The company offers domestic, outbound, inbound, and educational tourism services for overseas tourists and Chinese citizens. It also provides meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE); incentive travel and travel management; and cultural tourism destination services. In addition, the company offers sightseeing tours, leisure and vacation services, tourism consulting, scenic area management, and tourism development project planning and consulting services; transportation ticketing agency services; and property leasing and management services. It offers its services under the Jinjiang Travel and Jinjiang Convention & Exhibition brands. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Jinjiang International Travel Co reported revenue of $904M in FY2025 versus $295M in FY2021, a compound +32.3%/yr. Reported net income was $44.0M in FY2025, compounding +136.4%/yr from FY2021.
900929 screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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