9533 Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap 51.0M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −0.6% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.77 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (1.46 SAR to 2.77 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 17.00 SAR – 46.00 SAR · fair‑value band 1.46 SAR – 2.77 SAR · the 17.00 SAR price screens above the 2.21 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9533 (9533) currently trades at 17.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.21 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9533 generated revenue of 87.7M SAR at a net margin of -17.0%. Revenue declined 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -37.4%. Net debt stands at 32.3M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.46 SAR (bear case) to 2.77 SAR (bull case); at 17.00 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -87%, 9533 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9533 reported revenue of 87.7M SAR in FY2025 versus 80.6M SAR in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −14.9M SAR in FY2025.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY34 | R$1.42 | R$0.1600 | -89% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZOI34 | R$70.97 | R$44.81 | -37% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 569,000 KRW | 687,665 KRW | +21% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,182 MXN | 1,093 MXN | -7% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹142.21 | ₹82.21 | -42% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹37,790 | ₹14,005 | -63% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,152 | ₹441.39 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,090 | ₹372.63 | -66% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,035 | ₹1,548 | -62% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 70,600 KRW | 208,566 KRW | +195% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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