Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Foods Gate Trading Co. stock SAR 40.62, price SAR 22.40, upside +81.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range 22.15 SAR – 47.52 SAR · fair‑value band 30.47 SAR – 50.78 SAR · the 22.40 SAR price screens below the 40.62 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Foods Gate Trading Co. operates restaurants under the Tokyo and Kimono brand names in Saudi Arabia. It is also involved in the catering activities. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562) currently trades at 22.40 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.62 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 44.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 60.74 SAR per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the 22.40 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.70 SAR, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 30.47 SAR (bear) to 50.78 SAR (bull), the price of 22.40 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Foods Gate Trading Co. reported revenue of 58.3M SAR in FY2025 versus 59.9M SAR in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.8M SAR in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 70.6M SAR (≈ $18.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) 2.03 SAR · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 10.8% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 81%, 9562 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear30.47 SARFair Value 40.62 SARBull50.78 SAR
Price 22.40 SAR · Upside +81.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8550 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF58.33 SAR78.91 SAR117.03 SAR80
Growth DCF60.77 SAR80.75 SAR114.92 SAR79
5Y EBITDA Exit52.72 SAR73.56 SAR101.17 SAR76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF58.33 SAR78.91 SAR117.03 SAR80
5Y Revenue Exit34.89 SAR42.69 SAR53.91 SAR74
5Y EBITDA Exit52.72 SAR73.56 SAR101.17 SAR76
5Y P/E Exit44.99 SAR60.17 SAR78.41 SAR72
10Y Revenue Exit43.28 SAR49.92 SAR56.52 SAR68
10Y EBITDA Exit54.51 SAR69.02 SAR84.27 SAR70
10Y P/E Exit49.82 SAR60.74 SAR70.91 SAR65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd14.77 SAR18.06 SAR20.31 SAR67
EPV26.20 SAR29.57 SAR32.52 SAR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM6.13 SAR6.70 SAR7.59 SAR69
DDM Multi-Stage6.13 SAR7.69 SAR9.88 SAR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple35.85 SAR47.79 SAR59.74 SAR63
P/S Multiple16.65 SAR22.20 SAR27.76 SAR58
P/B Multiple54.35 SAR72.47 SAR90.58 SAR55
EV/EBIT31.44 SAR42.06 SAR52.67 SAR66
EV/EBITDA50.13 SAR66.98 SAR83.82 SAR67
EV/Revenue15.13 SAR21.79 SAR28.46 SAR53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)1.54 SAR2.33 SAR2.91 SAR55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF60.77 SAR80.75 SAR114.92 SAR79
Rev-Margin DCF34.89 SAR43.92 SAR55.56 SAR74
Economic Profit
Residual Income17.00 SAR19.42 SAR23.86 SAR76
ROIC Compounder26.20 SAR30.48 SAR34.93 SAR72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E25.27 SAR36.10 SAR46.93 SAR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−23.0%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −24.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 212 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+81.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.4% · Above median
Return on assets9.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)10.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)12.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.5% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
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Is Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.62 SAR versus a price of 22.40 SAR, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9562?
Our model-based fair value for Foods Gate Trading Co. is 40.62 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.40 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9562?
Foods Gate Trading Co. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 40.62 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 30.47 SAR, optimistic scenario 50.78 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Foods Gate Trading Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 40.62 SAR, about +81% upside versus a price of 22.40 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 30.47 SAR, optimistic scenario 50.78 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Foods Gate Trading Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 59.5M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Foods Gate Trading Co. pay a dividend?
Foods Gate Trading Co. currently shows a dividend yield of 4.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Foods Gate Trading Co. would have to grow free cash flow by -23.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.3 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9562 use?
Our models discount Foods Gate Trading Co. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Foods Gate Trading Co. that is -23.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Foods Gate Trading Co. grew +2.3 % a year. The price currently implies -23.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Foods Gate Trading Co. (-23.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.96 %: that much free cash flow Foods Gate Trading Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Foods Gate Trading Co. it is 40.62 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 22.40 SAR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Foods Gate Trading Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9562 trades below its calculated fair value: price 22.40 SAR, fair value 40.62 SAR, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9562?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.40 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (40.62 SAR). For Foods Gate Trading Co. the two are 18.22 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Foods Gate Trading Co. worth?
The market values Foods Gate Trading Co. at about 70.6M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 22.40 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 40.62 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9562?
Our models span a range for Foods Gate Trading Co.: cautious scenario 30.47 SAR, base 40.62 SAR, optimistic 50.78 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 22.40 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9562?
Foods Gate Trading Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 40.62 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Balance-sheet figures for Foods Gate Trading Co. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 11.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9562 from its 52-week high?
Foods Gate Trading Co. trades at 22.40 SAR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 31.68 SAR and 1% above the low of 22.15 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 40.62 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Foods Gate Trading Co.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Foods Gate Trading Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 22.40 SAR, calculated fair value 40.62 SAR (+81%), Quality Score 52/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9562 calculated?
We run Foods Gate Trading Co. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 40.62 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Foods Gate Trading Co. currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 22.40 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 40.62 SAR, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Foods Gate Trading Co. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (30.47 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Foods Gate Trading Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The market capitalisation of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 70.6M SAR (≈ $18.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 1.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Earnings per share at Foods Gate Trading Co. are 2.03 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The dividend yield of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 4.5% (payout 49.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The net margin of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 10.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
The operating margin of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Revenue at Foods Gate Trading Co. is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562)?
Earnings per share at Foods Gate Trading Co. are growing −11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562) carry?
The net debt of Foods Gate Trading Co. is 1.3M SAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 29, 2026