Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. stock SAR 22.94, price SAR 16.87, upside +36.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 16.00 SAR – 531,958 SAR · fair‑value band 16.61 SAR – 29.58 SAR · the 16.87 SAR price screens below the 22.94 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
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Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. engages in the logistic services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Maritime Shipping, Air Shipping, Land Transportation, and Logistics Business segment.
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It offers project logistics, freight forwarding, terminal handling, transportation, air freight, warehousing and distribution, and shipping agency services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Dammam, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571) currently trades at 16.87 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.94 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 28.52 SAR per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 16.87 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.30 SAR, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 16.61 SAR (bear) to 29.58 SAR (bull), the price of 16.87 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 54.9M SAR in FY2025 versus 132M SAR in FY2021, a compound −19.7%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4M SAR in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 50.7M SAR (≈ $13.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 23.4 · P/S ratio 1.44 · EPS (TTM) 0.7200 SAR · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 36%, 9571 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear16.61 SARFair Value 22.94 SARBull29.58 SAR
Price 16.87 SAR · Upside +36.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.5997 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF26.71 SAR35.10 SAR49.58 SAR81
Growth DCF27.64 SAR35.65 SAR48.40 SAR79
Owner Earnings17.95 SAR23.45 SAR32.93 SAR77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF26.71 SAR35.10 SAR49.58 SAR81
Owner Earnings17.95 SAR23.45 SAR32.93 SAR77
5Y Revenue Exit20.76 SAR27.88 SAR38.20 SAR73
5Y EBITDA Exit29.13 SAR42.36 SAR59.89 SAR75
5Y P/E Exit20.77 SAR27.90 SAR36.47 SAR72
10Y Revenue Exit22.74 SAR28.03 SAR33.54 SAR68
10Y EBITDA Exit27.92 SAR36.48 SAR45.55 SAR70
10Y P/E Exit23.13 SAR28.05 SAR32.59 SAR65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd7.63 SAR9.33 SAR10.49 SAR67
EPV13.87 SAR15.70 SAR17.24 SAR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM8.22 SAR8.91 SAR9.94 SAR69
DDM Multi-Stage8.22 SAR9.95 SAR12.24 SAR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple17.67 SAR23.56 SAR29.46 SAR63
P/S Multiple14.31 SAR19.08 SAR23.84 SAR58
P/B Multiple36.95 SAR49.26 SAR61.58 SAR55
EV/EBIT23.95 SAR31.65 SAR39.34 SAR66
EV/EBITDA35.38 SAR46.89 SAR58.39 SAR67
EV/Revenue17.35 SAR24.41 SAR31.47 SAR54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)1.52 SAR2.30 SAR2.88 SAR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF27.64 SAR35.65 SAR48.40 SAR79
Rev-Margin DCF20.76 SAR28.52 SAR38.23 SAR73
Economic Profit
Residual Income9.45 SAR10.37 SAR11.90 SAR76
ROIC Compounder13.87 SAR16.10 SAR18.37 SAR72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E12.48 SAR17.83 SAR23.18 SAR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−60.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 10%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.94 SAR versus a price of 16.87 SAR, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9571?
Our model-based fair value for Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 22.94 SAR (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.87 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9571?
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.94 SAR (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.61 SAR, optimistic scenario 29.58 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.94 SAR, about +36% upside versus a price of 16.87 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 16.61 SAR, optimistic scenario 29.58 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 51.8M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 5.93% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -10.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.6 % per year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9571 use?
Our models discount Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. that is -10.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. grew -10.6 % a year. The price currently implies -10.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (-10.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.09 %: that much free cash flow Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. it is 22.94 SAR per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of 16.87 SAR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 9571 trades below its calculated fair value: price 16.87 SAR, fair value 22.94 SAR, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9571?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.87 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.94 SAR). For Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. the two are 6.07 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. at about 50.7M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is 16.87 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 22.94 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9571?
Our models span a range for Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario 16.61 SAR, base 22.94 SAR, optimistic 29.58 SAR per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price 16.87 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9571?
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.4 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 22.94 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Balance-sheet figures for Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9571 from its 52-week high?
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. trades at 16.87 SAR, about 46% below its 52-week high of 31.31 SAR and 5% above the low of 16.00 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.94 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price 16.87 SAR, calculated fair value 22.94 SAR (+36%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9571 calculated?
We run Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 22.94 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 16.87 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 22.94 SAR, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. right now?
Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The market capitalisation of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 50.7M SAR (≈ $13.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 1.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Earnings per share at Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. are 0.7200 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The dividend yield of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 5.9% (payout 139%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The net margin of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 14.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
The operating margin of Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Revenue at Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. is growing −10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571)?
Earnings per share at Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. are growing +53.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. (9571) hold?
Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 2.6M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 30, 2026