SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range 1.80 SAR – 2.20 SAR · fair‑value band 1.49 SAR – 1.77 SAR · the 2.03 SAR price screens above the 1.63 SAR fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company engages in the production and packaging of mineral water. The company is also involved in the manufacturing of ice cubes; and wholesale of various types of mineral water. It offers its products under the Sama, Samaya, Samay, and Perla brands. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Jazan, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612) currently trades at 2.03 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.63 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3.02 SAR per share, and 8 of the 15 models we run sit above the 2.03 SAR price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 0.7100 SAR, and 7 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.49 SAR (bear) to 1.77 SAR (bull), the price of 2.03 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company reported revenue of 88.0M SAR in FY2025 versus 84.5M SAR in FY2022, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 8.9M SAR in FY2025, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 100M SAR (≈ $26.7M) · P/E ratio 11.3 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) 0.1800 SAR · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −20%, 9612 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.49 SARFair Value 1.63 SARBull 1.77 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1272 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 14%
Compare SAMA Healthy Water Factory company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+36% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Below median
Return on assets6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAMA Healthy Water Factory company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9612
Frequently asked questions
Is SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.63 SAR versus a price of 2.03 SAR, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9612?
Our model-based fair value for SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 1.63 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.03 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9612?
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.63 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.49 SAR, optimistic scenario 1.77 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SAMA Healthy Water Factory company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.63 SAR, about −20% upside versus a price of 2.03 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.49 SAR, optimistic scenario 1.77 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 88.0M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does SAMA Healthy Water Factory company pay a dividend?
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SAMA Healthy Water Factory company it is 1.63 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 2.03 SAR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SAMA Healthy Water Factory company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9612 trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.03 SAR, fair value 1.63 SAR, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9612?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.03 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.63 SAR). For SAMA Healthy Water Factory company the two are 0.4000 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SAMA Healthy Water Factory company worth?
The market values SAMA Healthy Water Factory company at about 100M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 2.03 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.63 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9612?
Our models span a range for SAMA Healthy Water Factory company: cautious scenario 1.49 SAR, base 1.63 SAR, optimistic 1.77 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 2.03 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9612?
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.63 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
Balance-sheet figures for SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9612 from its 52-week high?
SAMA Healthy Water Factory company trades at 2.03 SAR, about 8% below its 52-week high of 2.20 SAR and 13% above the low of 1.80 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.63 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SAMA Healthy Water Factory company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SAMA Healthy Water Factory company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 2.03 SAR, calculated fair value 1.63 SAR (−20%), Quality Score 59/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9612 calculated?
We run SAMA Healthy Water Factory company through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.63 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. SAMA Healthy Water Factory company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 2.03 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 1.63 SAR, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SAMA Healthy Water Factory company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.77 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company
How large is the market capitalisation of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The market capitalisation of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 100M SAR (≈ $26.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
Earnings per share at SAMA Healthy Water Factory company are 0.1800 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The dividend yield of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 3.9% (payout 44.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The net margin of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 8.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
The operating margin of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
Revenue at SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612)?
Earnings per share at SAMA Healthy Water Factory company are growing −14.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612) generate?
The free cash flow of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is −2.6M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SAMA Healthy Water Factory company (9612) carry?
The net debt of SAMA Healthy Water Factory company is 9.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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