Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co SAR 42.42, price SAR 30.20, upside +40.5%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range 25.10 SAR – 44.35 SAR · fair‑value band 32.04 SAR – 55.23 SAR · the 30.20 SAR price screens below the 42.42 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. manufactures and sells ceramics, porcelain, and marble products in Saudi Arabia.
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It involves in construction, management, and leasing of owned or leased residential and non-residential buildings; wholesale and retail of bricks, blocks, tiles, stone, marble, ceramics, and porcelain; land transportation of goods; freight brokerage and logistics services; purchase, sale, and division of land and real estate; and management and leasing of self-storage warehouses.
The company sells its products through its stores as well as through its website. Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. was founded in 2003 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) currently trades at 30.20 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.42 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 79.82 SAR per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the 30.20 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 17.81 SAR, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 32.04 SAR (bear) to 55.23 SAR (bull), the price of 30.20 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co reported revenue of 611M SAR in FY2025 versus 499M SAR in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 27.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 222M SAR (≈ $59.2M) · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) 3.61 SAR · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 65% fair-value upside, at 40%, 9631 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear32.04 SARFair Value 42.42 SARBull55.23 SAR
Price 30.20 SAR · Upside +40.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.66 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings53.81 SAR73.76 SAR99.04 SAR74
EPV42.31 SAR46.78 SAR50.41 SAR74
Residual Income23.29 SAR26.24 SAR32.01 SAR73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings53.81 SAR73.76 SAR99.04 SAR74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd24.67 SAR80.67 SAR107.81 SAR62
Lynch FV18.08 SAR25.83 SAR33.58 SAR58
PEG = 1.018.08 SAR25.83 SAR33.58 SAR55
EPV42.31 SAR46.78 SAR50.41 SAR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM17.41 SAR29.17 SAR37.86 SAR65
DDM Multi-Stage17.41 SAR26.73 SAR31.38 SAR65
Multiples
P/E Multiple59.87 SAR79.82 SAR99.78 SAR63
P/S Multiple46.26 SAR61.68 SAR77.10 SAR58
P/B Multiple46.26 SAR61.68 SAR77.10 SAR55
EV/EBIT83.32 SAR109.41 SAR135.50 SAR66
EV/EBITDA67.71 SAR88.61 SAR109.50 SAR67
EV/Revenue57.80 SAR80.42 SAR103.03 SAR54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)13.29 SAR17.81 SAR26.58 SAR54
Economic Profit
Residual Income23.29 SAR26.24 SAR32.01 SAR73
ROIC Compounder44.28 SAR51.61 SAR59.37 SAR69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E50.11 SAR71.58 SAR93.05 SAR65
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 63 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+40.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)4.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9631
Frequently asked questions
Is Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 42.42 SAR versus a price of 30.20 SAR, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9631?
Our model-based fair value for Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 42.42 SAR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 30.20 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9631?
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 42.42 SAR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 32.04 SAR, optimistic scenario 55.23 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 42.42 SAR, about +40% upside versus a price of 30.20 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 32.04 SAR, optimistic scenario 55.23 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 584M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co pay a dividend?
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.97% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co it is 42.42 SAR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 30.20 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 9631 trades below its calculated fair value: price 30.20 SAR, fair value 42.42 SAR, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9631?
No. The price is what the market pays today (30.20 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (42.42 SAR). For Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co the two are 12.22 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co worth?
The market values Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co at about 222M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 30.20 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 42.42 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9631?
Our models span a range for Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co: cautious scenario 32.04 SAR, base 42.42 SAR, optimistic 55.23 SAR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 30.20 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9631?
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 42.42 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9631 from its 52-week high?
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co trades at 30.20 SAR, about 25% below its 52-week high of 40.00 SAR and 20% above the low of 25.10 SAR (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 42.42 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 30.20 SAR, calculated fair value 42.42 SAR (+40%), Quality Score 37/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9631 calculated?
We run Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 42.42 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was 30.20 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 42.42 SAR, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (32.04 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The market capitalisation of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 222M SAR (≈ $59.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 0.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Earnings per share at Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co are 3.61 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The dividend yield of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 5.0% (payout 41.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The net margin of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 10.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
The operating margin of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Revenue at Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is growing −9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631)?
Earnings per share at Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co are growing −6.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) generate?
The free cash flow of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is −25.6M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) carry?
The net debt of Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co is 143M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026