Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 217M SAR (≈ $57.9M)
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Share price −13.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 33% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (24.67 SAR to 47.53 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range 26.96 SAR – 44.35 SAR · fair‑value band 24.67 SAR – 47.53 SAR · the 29.70 SAR price screens below the 44.33 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co (9631) currently trades at 29.70 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 44.33 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co generated revenue of 611M SAR at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at 143M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 24.67 SAR (bear case) to 47.53 SAR (bull case); at 29.70 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 49%, 9631 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (79.82 SAR) versus Asset-Based (17.81 SAR). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. manufactures and sells ceramics, porcelain, and marble products in Saudi Arabia. It involves in construction, management, and leasing of owned or leased residential and non-residential buildings; wholesale and retail of bricks, blocks, tiles, stone, marble, ceramics, and porcelain; land transportation of goods; freight brokerage …
Full company description
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. manufactures and sells ceramics, porcelain, and marble products in Saudi Arabia. It involves in construction, management, and leasing of owned or leased residential and non-residential buildings; wholesale and retail of bricks, blocks, tiles, stone, marble, ceramics, and porcelain; land transportation of goods; freight brokerage and logistics services; purchase, sale, and division of land and real estate; and management and leasing of self-storage warehouses. The company sells its products through its stores as well as through its website. Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co. was founded in 2003 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co reported revenue of 611M SAR in FY2025 versus 499M SAR in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 27.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Residential Construction · 66 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.R. Horton, Inc DHI | $145.26 | $213.23 | +47% |
| PulteGroup, Inc PHM | $126.75 | $190.17 | +50% |
| Lennar Corporation LEN | $85.11 | $116.80 | +37% |
| NVR, Inc NVR | $6,396 | $7,821 | +22% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc TOL | $146.22 | $221.32 | +51% |
| Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC | $72.45 | $136.88 | +89% |
| Installed Building Products, Inc IBP | $246.00 | $209.51 | -15% |
| Meritage Homes Corporation MTH | $71.06 | $102.94 | +45% |
| Champion Homes, Inc SKY | $93.88 | $75.12 | -20% |
| Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO | $598.38 | $421.10 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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