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Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co (9925) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 15.9B TWD

TS Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co 9925 · TW
Price40.05 TWD
Fair Value40.32 TWD
Upside+0.7%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.84% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range 30.24 TWD – 50.40 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 30.24 TWD (bear) to 50.40 TWD (bull), base 40.32 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

41.50 TWD 29.17 TWD Fair Value 40.32 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 29.17 TWD – 41.50 TWD · fair‑value band 30.24 TWD – 50.40 TWD · the 40.05 TWD price screens below the 40.32 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co (9925) currently trades at 40.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.32 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co generated revenue of 8.1B TWD at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 30.24 TWD (bear case) to 50.40 TWD (bull case); at 40.05 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 1%, 9925 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 42.67 TWD 54.17 TWD 72.71 TWD 80
Residual Income 27.80 TWD 29.43 TWD 31.41 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 32.04 TWD 40.98 TWD 51.74 TWD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 41.48 TWD 53.39 TWD 73.93 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 37.11 TWD 47.39 TWD 65.12 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 32.04 TWD 40.39 TWD 51.81 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 44.01 TWD 60.96 TWD 82.10 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 41.75 TWD 57.08 TWD 74.23 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 34.88 TWD 42.78 TWD 51.72 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 42.76 TWD 56.44 TWD 72.21 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 41.37 TWD 53.86 TWD 66.88 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 16.13 TWD 29.54 TWD 36.55 TWD 54
EPV 24.46 TWD 26.94 TWD 29.11 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 18.52 TWD 24.58 TWD 30.73 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 18.52 TWD 25.43 TWD 33.69 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 37.35 TWD 49.80 TWD 62.25 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 30.24 TWD 40.32 TWD 50.40 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 30.24 TWD 40.32 TWD 50.40 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 35.01 TWD 43.50 TWD 51.98 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 51.07 TWD 64.91 TWD 78.75 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 27.73 TWD 35.51 TWD 43.30 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 16.98 TWD 22.75 TWD 33.95 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 42.67 TWD 54.17 TWD 72.71 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 32.04 TWD 40.98 TWD 51.74 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 27.80 TWD 29.43 TWD 31.41 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 24.46 TWD 26.94 TWD 29.11 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 26.49 TWD 37.85 TWD 49.20 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (53.39 TWD) versus Asset-Based (22.75 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.3B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%
Net margin 11.2%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow 1.2B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 17.6
More key figures
Operating margin 10.7%
EPS (TTM) 2.36 TWD
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net cash 1.2B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides electronic security services in Taiwan. It operates through Electronic Services Business, Cash-In-Transit Business, Stationed Security Business, and Other segments.

Full company description

Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides electronic security services in Taiwan. It operates through Electronic Services Business, Cash-In-Transit Business, Stationed Security Business, and Other segments. The company engages in the design, sale, rental, installation, maintenance, repair, and inspection of disaster prevention, theft prevention, and fire protection equipment; and import and export of related products. It also provides cash escort and permanent security guard services. In addition, the company offers family security, community cloud guard, home care companionship, AED, SKS FireOut, SMART-ADD-ON, automate proteng, MEGA composter, and MEGA vision services; business cloud guard, AI smart video protection, business security, video surveillance, smart door keeper, SKS smart butler, smart BnB suite, GPS fleet management, digital dash camera, SKPOS, driving vision assist system, LADAKE mobile attendance, and WorkLink services; and smart green building, smart disaster prevention, fire alarm monitoring, and vehicle-specific fire blanket services. Further, it engages in general investment; transportation and security of cash and other valuables; operation of apartment building management and parking lots; information software; preservation of machinery and equipment; engineering construction; internet communication; access control and security systems; property management; installation and sale of electronic equipment and electronic information software; medical equipment retail; car rental; management services; and health and wellness products, and home appliance distribution activities. The company was formerly known as Taiwan Sogo Shin Kong Security Co. Ltd. Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co reported revenue of 8.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 911M TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.1B TWD
Latest YoY
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+3.2%
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY21 7.6B TWD
FY22 7.7B TWD
FY23 7.7B TWD
FY24 7.8B TWD
FY25 8.1B TWD
Net income −1.4%/yr
FY21 963M TWD
FY22 965M TWD
FY23 938M TWD
FY24 885M TWD
FY25 911M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9925

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 34 · sector 17
FUTURE 35 · sector 38
PAST 28 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 97 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB kr 348.40 kr 269.97 -23%
Verisure plc VSURE €10.26 €12.40 +21%
Allegion plc ALLE $137.24 $127.80 -7%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 162.10 kr 186.34 +15%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.57 ¥23.58 +42%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $169.00 $118.51 -30%
ADT Inc ADT $7.06 $17.10 +142%
The Brink's Company BCO $104.24 $101.84 -2%
Brady Corporation BRC $90.16 $73.43 -19%
The GEO Group GEO $29.46 $32.36 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co (9925) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.32 TWD versus a price of 40.05 TWD, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9925?
Our model-based fair value for Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co is 40.32 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 40.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9925?
Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co (9925)?
Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9925?
The net profit margin of Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co is about 11.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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