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Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd TWD 96.55, price TWD 92.20, upside +4.7%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0009958009

CI Some data Sep 23, 2026

Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd

9958 · TW

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value 96.55 TWD · Fairly valued (+5%)
!Quality 43/100
Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +15.9 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·4.88% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

365.00 TWD 62.10 TWD Fair Value 96.55 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 62.10 TWD – 365.00 TWD · fair‑value band 72.42 TWD – 120.69 TWD · the 92.20 TWD price screens below the 96.55 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Century Iron and Steel Industrial Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel structures, steel frame, and iron bone in Taiwan and Myanmar. The company is also involved in the manufacture and distributes mechanical equipment of power generation, and fabricated metal; installation; and consulting services.

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Century Iron and Steel Industrial Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel structures, steel frame, and iron bone in Taiwan and Myanmar. The company is also involved in the manufacture and distributes mechanical equipment of power generation, and fabricated metal; installation; and consulting services. Its products are used in high-rise buildings, bridges, factories, public construction, and other projects. Century Iron and Steel Industrial Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) currently trades at 92.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 96.55 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 285.85 TWD per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 92.20 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 30.15 TWD, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 72.42 TWD (bear) to 120.69 TWD (bull), the price of 92.20 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd reported revenue of 14.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 9.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 37.3B TWD (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 14.3 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) 6.47 TWD · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 5%, 9958 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 72.42 TWD Fair Value 96.55 TWD Bull 120.69 TWD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.44 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 317.30 TWD 533.65 TWD 902.95 TWD 78
Owner Earnings 91.67 TWD 134.23 TWD 206.88 TWD 76
Growth DCF 316.28 TWD 517.71 TWD 854.17 TWD 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 317.30 TWD 533.65 TWD 902.95 TWD 78
Owner Earnings 91.67 TWD 134.23 TWD 206.88 TWD 76
5Y Revenue Exit 168.42 TWD 226.70 TWD 298.98 TWD 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 219.74 TWD 331.00 TWD 465.58 TWD 75
5Y P/E Exit 180.38 TWD 251.00 TWD 327.37 TWD 71
10Y Revenue Exit 214.67 TWD 285.85 TWD 382.43 TWD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 250.57 TWD 361.66 TWD 520.00 TWD 68
10Y P/E Exit 224.62 TWD 303.51 TWD 405.87 TWD 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 45.44 TWD 200.45 TWD 274.41 TWD 64
Lynch FV 51.87 TWD 74.10 TWD 96.34 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 51.87 TWD 74.10 TWD 96.34 TWD 57
EPV 138.99 TWD 156.08 TWD 171.04 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 52.26 TWD 108.66 TWD 172.37 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 52.26 TWD 91.62 TWD 114.04 TWD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 85.20 TWD 113.59 TWD 141.99 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 65.90 TWD 87.87 TWD 109.84 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 85.20 TWD 113.59 TWD 141.99 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 177.06 TWD 223.94 TWD 270.82 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 185.14 TWD 234.72 TWD 284.29 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 97.93 TWD 124.29 TWD 150.65 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.50 TWD 30.15 TWD 45.00 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 316.28 TWD 517.71 TWD 854.17 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 168.42 TWD 229.22 TWD 307.34 TWD 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 44.85 TWD 55.09 TWD 104.92 TWD 72
ROIC Compounder 143.06 TWD 165.66 TWD 188.87 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 76.21 TWD 108.87 TWD 141.53 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4% vs 27%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 262 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.30× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.47× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)40 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)83 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)98 · sector 24

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $400.02 $109.07 −73%
ATI Inc ATI $186.56 $39.75 −79%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €171.10 €109.36 −36%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.34 +37%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.68 −78%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 96.55 TWD versus a price of 92.20 TWD, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9958?
Our model-based fair value for Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 96.55 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 92.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9958?
Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 96.55 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 72.42 TWD, optimistic scenario 120.69 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 96.55 TWD, about +5% upside versus a price of 92.20 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 72.42 TWD, optimistic scenario 120.69 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9958 use?
Our models discount Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd that is -10.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd grew +17.7 % a year. The price currently implies -10.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (-10.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.93 %: that much free cash flow Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd it is 96.55 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 92.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 9958 trades below its calculated fair value: price 92.20 TWD, fair value 96.55 TWD, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9958?
No. The price is what the market pays today (92.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (96.55 TWD). For Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd the two are 4.35 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd worth?
The market values Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd at about 37.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 92.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 96.55 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9958?
Our models span a range for Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd: cautious scenario 72.42 TWD, base 96.55 TWD, optimistic 120.69 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 92.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9958?
Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 96.55 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Balance-sheet figures for Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 13.0%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9958 from its 52-week high?
Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd trades at 92.20 TWD, about 47% below its 52-week high of 175.00 TWD and 5% above the low of 88.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 96.55 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 92.20 TWD, calculated fair value 96.55 TWD (+5%), Quality Score 43/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9958 calculated?
We run Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 96.55 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 92.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 96.55 TWD, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) come from?
Earnings per share at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd grew +26.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.4 %, EBIT margin +12.8 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The market capitalisation of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 37.3B TWD (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Earnings per share at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd are 6.47 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The dividend yield of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 4.9% (payout 69.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The net margin of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
The operating margin of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 28.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Revenue at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is growing +16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958)?
Earnings per share at Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd are growing +84.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd (9958) carry?
The net debt of Century Iron And Steel Industrial Co Ltd is 4.5B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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