A3 Mercados S.A (A3) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · AR · Market cap 843B ARS
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +56.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,854 ARS). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.59 ARS – 3,460 ARS · fair‑value band 1,483 ARS – 1,854 ARS · the 3,460 ARS price screens above the 1,483 ARS fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
A3 Mercados S.A (A3) currently trades at 3,460 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,483 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, A3 Mercados S.A generated revenue of 245B ARS at a net margin of 46.4%. Revenue grew 59.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,483 ARS (bear case) to 1,854 ARS (bull case); at 3,460 ARS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -57%, A3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4,657 ARS) versus Multiples (1,483 ARS). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
A3 Mercados S.A. operates as a market for negotiable securities in Argentina and internationally. It offers financial and agricultural instruments, including spot, derivatives, and OTC transactions; guaranteed spot PPT; over the counter registration A3; and surety rate futures.
Full company description
A3 Mercados S.A. operates as a market for negotiable securities in Argentina and internationally. It offers financial and agricultural instruments, including spot, derivatives, and OTC transactions; guaranteed spot PPT; over the counter registration A3; and surety rate futures. The company also provides primary placements, secondary spot trading, and foreign exchange market; and FCI market and warrants, as well as futures and options for financial, agricultural, metals, and energy. In addition, it offers compensation and liquidation of contracts; and software programs services. A3 Mercados S.A. is based in Rosario, Argentina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
A3 Mercados S.A reported revenue of 95.4B ARS in FY2025 versus 12.1B ARS in FY2022, a compound +99.0%/yr. Reported net income was 21.4B ARS in FY2025, compounding +100.0%/yr from FY2022.
A3 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →
Peer Group
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Inc SPGI | $450.84 | $196.36 | -56% |
| CME Group CME | $245.05 | $145.51 | -41% |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $504.46 | $194.82 | -61% |
| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $139.65 | $75.95 | -46% |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €260.90 | €142.42 | -45% |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $88.08 | $41.12 | -53% |
| MSCI Inc MSCI | $604.71 | $214.91 | -64% |
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $160.49 | $57.05 | -64% |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $273.41 | $136.64 | -50% |
| Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 | ¥215.56 | ¥55.36 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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