Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd ₹138, price ₹715, upside -80.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · IN · ISIN INE552Z01027

AB Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd

ABDL · NSE

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹138.01 · Strongly overvalued (−80.7%)

!Quality 42/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +9.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!0.8% dividend yield · Token dividend

!Trails peers (5/13)

!Moderate moat 52/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ₹96.61 to bull ₹179.41 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 42/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

Watch Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range ₹281.05 – ₹715.05 · fair‑value band ₹96.61 – ₹179.41 · the ₹715.05 price screens above the ₹138.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

Follow Allied Blenders & Distillers in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Allied Blenders & Distillers is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited produces and sells alcoholic beverages in India and internationally.

Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited produces and sells alcoholic beverages in India and internationally. The company offers whisky, brandy, rum, vodka, and gin under the Arthaus, Officer's Choice, Sterling Reserve Blend 7, ICONiQ Winter, X&O Barrel, Srishti, Officer's Choice Blue, Sterling Reserve, Officer's Choice Star, Kyron, Jolly Roger, Class 21, and Zoya brand names. It also provides packaged drinking water under the Officer's Choice Blue, Sterling Reserve, and ICONiQ White brand names. Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) currently trades at ₹715.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹138.01, implying the stock looks roughly 418.1% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹171.42 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹715.05 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹39.83, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹96.61 (bear) to ₹179.41 (bull), the price of ₹715.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd reported revenue of ₹39.2B in FY2026 versus ₹25.6B in FY2022, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.3B in FY2026, compounding +252.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹200B (≈ $2.1B) · P/E ratio 87.9 · P/S ratio 5.12 · EPS (TTM) ₹8.14 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −81%, ABDL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹96.61 Fair Value ₹138.01 Bull ₹179.41

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.36 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

EPV ₹86.85 ₹99.33 ₹109.73 74

Residual Income ₹54.35 ₹63.43 ₹84.24 73

ROIC Compounder ₹93.62 ₹118.47 ₹148.30 69

All 16 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ₹55.51 ₹220.77 ₹299.97 61

Lynch FV ₹54.74 ₹78.20 ₹101.66 58

PEG = 1.0 ₹54.74 ₹78.20 ₹101.66 55

EPV ₹86.85 ₹99.33 ₹109.73 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ₹27.97 ₹50.40 ₹69.38 65

DDM Multi-Stage ₹27.97 ₹46.04 ₹53.84 64

Multiples

P/E Multiple ₹128.56 ₹171.42 ₹214.27 63

P/S Multiple ₹104.08 ₹138.77 ₹173.46 58

P/B Multiple ₹104.08 ₹138.77 ₹173.46 55

EV/EBIT ₹200.93 ₹269.46 ₹338.00 66

EV/EBITDA ₹180.14 ₹241.75 ₹303.36 67

EV/Revenue ₹142.07 ₹204.96 ₹267.85 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ₹29.72 ₹39.83 ₹59.44 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ₹54.35 ₹63.43 ₹84.24 73

ROIC Compounder ₹93.62 ₹118.47 ₹148.30 69

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ₹96.61 ₹138.01 ₹179.41 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when ABDL reaches fair value

Put ABDL on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 50

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 45

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 18

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 51

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 23

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 43

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 73

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 89

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 66

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+17.3%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.4%

’22

’23

’24

’25

’26

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

5.9% (2022) → 11.5% (2026)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band

not computed

ABDL screens 418% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

Compare Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

First stock

Second stock

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 97 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −80.7% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 13.6% · Top 25%

Return on assets 7.6% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 5.8% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 14.2% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 9.4% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 87.9× · Priciest 25%

P/B 12.03× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 5.10× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 37.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26

FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 0

PAST (return on equity)54 · sector 17

HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)15 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519	¥1,237	¥1,653	+34%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858	¥69.67	¥76.64	+10%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809	¥111.18	¥209.69	+89%
Pernod Ricard SA RI	€59.04	€56.69	−4%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568	¥70.65	¥149.17	+111%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92	0.4400 SGD	0.7300 SGD	+66%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304	¥37.47	¥24.22	−35%
Radico Khaitan Limited RADICO	₹4,557	₹947.39	−79%
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369	¥26.92	¥38.66	+44%
Emperador Inc EMI	0.3850 SGD	0.3053 SGD	−21%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks Technology Financial Services Healthcare Consumer Cyclical Consumer Defensive Communication Services Industrials Energy Basic Materials Real Estate Utilities Deeply Undervalued Stocks Undervalued High-Quality Stocks Undervalued Blue-Chip Stocks Undervalued Small-Cap Stocks Undervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators

DCF Calculator Graham Number Peter Lynch Formula DDM Calculator Fama-French Model Intrinsic Value

For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd · Fair Value
₹138.01 −418%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABDL" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹138.01</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−418%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABDL

Frequently asked questions

Is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹138.01 versus a price of ₹715.05, about −81% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of ABDL?

Our model-based fair value for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is ₹138.01 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹715.05.

What is the quality score of ABDL?

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹138.01 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹96.61, optimistic scenario ₹179.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹138.01, about −81% upside versus a price of ₹715.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹96.61, optimistic scenario ₹179.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹39.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

Does Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd pay a dividend?

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd it is ₹138.01 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹715.05. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, ABDL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹715.05, fair value ₹138.01, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of ABDL?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹715.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹138.01). For Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd the two are ₹577.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd worth?

The market values Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd at about ₹200B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹715.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹138.01 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABDL?

Our models span a range for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd: cautious scenario ₹96.61, base ₹138.01, optimistic ₹179.41 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹715.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of ABDL?

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 87.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹138.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.0, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 37.3.

How solid is the balance sheet of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Balance-sheet figures for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is ABDL from its 52-week high?

Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd trades at ₹715.05, at its 52-week high of ₹715.05 and 88% above the low of ₹380.85 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹138.01 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹715.05, calculated fair value ₹138.01 (−81%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of ABDL calculated?

We run Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹138.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹715.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹138.01, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹179.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹96.61 to ₹179.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The market capitalisation of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is ₹200B (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 5.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Earnings per share at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd are ₹8.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 87.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The dividend yield of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 0.8% (payout 66.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The net margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 5.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

The operating margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Revenue at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is growing +9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?

Earnings per share at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd are growing −48.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) generate?

The free cash flow of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is −₹1.2B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) carry?

The net debt of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is ₹10.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

Free · no account needed

Watch Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.