Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock ₹138, price ₹719, that is 80.8% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range ₹281.05 – ₹748.65 · fair‑value band ₹96.61 – ₹179.41 · the ₹719.10 price screens above the ₹138.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited produces and sells alcoholic beverages in India and internationally.
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The company offers whisky, brandy, rum, vodka, and gin under the Arthaus, Officer's Choice, Sterling Reserve Blend 7, ICONiQ Winter, X&O Barrel, Srishti, Officer's Choice Blue, Sterling Reserve, Officer's Choice Star, Kyron, Jolly Roger, Class 21, and Zoya brand names.
It also provides packaged drinking water under the Officer's Choice Blue, Sterling Reserve, and ICONiQ White brand names. Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) currently trades at ₹719.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹138.01, 81% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹191.51 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹719.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹15.72, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹96.61 (bear) to ₹179.41 (bull), the price of ₹719.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd reported revenue of ₹39.2B in FY2026 versus ₹25.6B in FY2022, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.3B in FY2026, compounding +252.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹201B (≈ $2.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 91.8 · P/S ratio 5.06 · EPS (TTM) ₹7.83 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −81%, ABDL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹15.72 to ₹300.08). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear₹96.61Fair Value ₹138.01Bull₹179.41
Price ₹719.10 · Downside -80.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.50 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.9% (2022) → 11.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 92 stocks
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Is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹138.01 versus a price of ₹719.10, about 81% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABDL?
Our model-based fair value for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is ₹138.01 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹719.10.
What is the quality score of ABDL?
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹138.01 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹96.61, optimistic scenario ₹179.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹138.01, about 81% lower versus a price of ₹719.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹96.61, optimistic scenario ₹179.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹39.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd pay a dividend?
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd pays a dividend of ₹5.40 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 25, 2026. The payout ratio is 69.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.8% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.8% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd it is ₹138.01 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ₹719.10. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ABDL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹719.10, fair value ₹138.01, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABDL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹719.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹138.01). For Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd the two are ₹581.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd worth?
The market values Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd at about ₹201B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ₹719.10; our models calculate a fair value of ₹138.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABDL?
Our models span a range for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd: cautious scenario ₹96.61, base ₹138.01, optimistic ₹179.41 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ₹719.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABDL?
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 91.8 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹138.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.1, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 37.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABDL from its 52-week high?
Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd trades at ₹719.10, about 4% below its 52-week high of ₹748.65 and 89% above the low of ₹380.85 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹138.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ₹719.10, calculated fair value ₹138.01 (−81%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABDL calculated?
We run Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹138.01 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹719.10. Our model-based fair value is ₹138.01, about 81% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹179.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹96.61 to ₹179.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The market capitalisation of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is ₹201B (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 5.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Earnings per share at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd are ₹7.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 91.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The dividend yield of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 0.8% (payout 69.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The net margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
The operating margin of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Revenue at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL)?
Earnings per share at Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd are growing −12.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) generate?
The free cash flow of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is −₹1.2B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd (ABDL) carry?
The net debt of Allied Blenders & Distillers Ltd is ₹10.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 10, 2026