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Accel Entertainment, Inc (ACEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $982M

Price$13.01
Fair Value$13.91
Upside+6.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $7.45 – $19.85

Analysis

Accel Entertainment, Inc (ACEL) currently trades at $13.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.91 — implying the stock looks roughly 6.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Accel Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a distributed gaming operator in the United States. It engages in the installation, maintenance, and operation of gaming terminals; redemption devices that disburse winnings and contain automated teller machine (ATM) functionality; and other amusement devices in authorized non-casino locations, such as restaurants, bars, taverns, convenience stores, liquor stores, truck stops, and grocery stores. The company also designs and manufactures gaming terminals and related equipment, as well as offers turnkey and full-service gaming solutions to bars, restaurants, convenience stores, truck stops, and fraternal and veteran establishments. In addition, it operates stand-alone ATMs in gaming and non-gaming locations, as well as amusement devices, including jukeboxes, dartboards, pool tables, and other entertainment related equipment; and develops brick-and-mortar casinos that serve local gaming markets and horse racing ven…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.