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Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited $0.44, price $0.20, upside +120.0%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · Home Hong Kong · ISIN BMG0620W3009

AC Asian Citrus Holdings Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Asian Citrus Holdings Limited

ACITF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.4400 · Strongly undervalued (+120.0%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -23.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.04 $0.0025 Fair Value $0.4400 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0025 – $1.04 · fair‑value band $0.2900 – $0.5500 · the $0.2000 price screens below the $0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Asian Citrus Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, plants, cultivates, and sells agricultural produce in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Plantation Business, Fruit Distribution Business, Air-Conditioners Distribution Business, and Sales and Distribution of Consumables and Others Business segments.

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Asian Citrus Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, plants, cultivates, and sells agricultural produce in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Plantation Business, Fruit Distribution Business, Air-Conditioners Distribution Business, and Sales and Distribution of Consumables and Others Business segments. It also engages in the distribution and installation of air-conditioners; and plantation, cultivation, and distribution of various fruits; sale of passion and other fruits; and provision of technology-related services and supply chain finance technology solution. Asian Citrus Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 54.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.2900 (bear) to $0.5500 (bull), the price of $0.2000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Asian Citrus Holdings Limited reported revenue of 77.4M CNY in FY2025 versus 205M CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.6%/yr. Reported net income was −24.0M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.0M · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6600 · Net margin −31.0% · Return on equity −17.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.0% · Operating margin −22.3% · Revenue (TTM) 81.8M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 120%, ACITF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2900 Fair Value $0.4400 Bull $0.5500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.5600 $0.7500 $1.13 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5600 $0.7500 $1.13 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −22.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.2% (2020) → −37.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Asian Citrus Holdings Limited with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +87.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −10.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −23.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −22.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)57 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 66

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $78.57 $70.95 −10%
US Foods Holding USFD $93.33 $60.25 −35%
Performance Food Group PFGC $91.55 $47.10 −49%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €17.62 €21.59 +23%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.50 THB 12.98 THB −10%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $110.27 $41.87 −62%
Olam Group VC2 0.9650 SGD 2.47 SGD +156%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $44.79 $34.58 −23%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $65.70 $32.38 −51%
Metcash Limited MTS A$2.86 A$5.33 +86%

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Asian Citrus Holdings Limited · Fair Value
$0.4400 +55%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asian Citrus Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACITF

Frequently asked questions

Is Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4400 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $0.2000, about +120% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACITF?
Our model-based fair value for Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is $0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $0.2000.
What is the quality score of ACITF?
Asian Citrus Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2900, optimistic scenario $0.5500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asian Citrus Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4400, about +120% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2900, optimistic scenario $0.5500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Asian Citrus Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 81.8M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asian Citrus Holdings Limited it is $0.4400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Asian Citrus Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACITF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2000, fair value $0.4400, a gap of about +120% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACITF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4400). For Asian Citrus Holdings Limited the two are $0.2400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asian Citrus Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Asian Citrus Holdings Limited at about $3.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACITF?
Our models span a range for Asian Citrus Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.2900, base $0.4400, optimistic $0.5500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACITF from its 52-week high?
Asian Citrus Holdings Limited trades at $0.2000, at its 52-week high of $0.2000 and at the low of $0.2000 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asian Citrus Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asian Citrus Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2000, calculated fair value $0.4400 (+120%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACITF calculated?
We run Asian Citrus Holdings Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Asian Citrus Holdings Limited currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $0.2000. Our model-based fair value is $0.4400, about +120% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asian Citrus Holdings Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.2900 to $0.5500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
The market capitalisation of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is $3.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Earnings per share at Asian Citrus Holdings Limited are $−0.6600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
The net margin of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is −31.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is −17.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is −11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
The operating margin of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is −22.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Revenue at Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is growing +11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF)?
Earnings per share at Asian Citrus Holdings Limited are growing −77.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF) generate?
The free cash flow of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is −580K CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (ACITF) carry?
The net debt of Asian Citrus Holdings Limited is 2.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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