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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $256M

Price$4.43
Fair Value$3.23
Upside-27.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $1.11 – $7.05

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

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Analysis

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) currently trades at $4.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.23 — implying the stock looks roughly 27.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation, a specialty finance company, engages in the originating and investing in commercial real estate (CRE) loans and related investments in the United States. The company provides loan opportunities for the owners, operators, and sponsors of CRE properties. Its investments includes senior mortgage loans, subordinate debt, preferred equity products, mezzanine loans, and other CRE investments, such as commercial mortgage-backed securities. It has elected and qualified to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for the United States federal income tax purposes under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.23 versus a price of $4.43 — about −27% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ACRE?
Our 21-model fair value for Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation is $3.23 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.43.
What is the quality score of ACRE?
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.