Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.51 – $11.07 · fair‑value band $5.76 – $8.55 · the $9.76 price screens above the $7.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) currently trades at $9.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.68, implying the stock looks roughly 21.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ladder Capital Corp generated revenue of $216M at a net margin of 25.4%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.76 (bear case) to $8.55 (bull case); at $9.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -21%, LADR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($8.28) versus Multiples ($2.78). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through three segments: Loans, Securities, and Real Estate.
Full company description
Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through three segments: Loans, Securities, and Real Estate. The Loans segment originates and acquires balance sheet loans that provide interim financing to borrowers seeking short-term capital for the acquisition or transition of commercial real estate; originates conduit loans, which are first mortgage loans on commercial real estate properties for sale in commercial mortgage-backed securities securitizations; and invests in note purchase financings, subordinated debt, mezzanine debt, and other structured finance products related to commercial real estate. Its Securities segment invests in CMBS, U.S. Agency securities, corporate bonds, equity securities, and U.S. Treasury securities that are not classified as cash and cash equivalents. The Real Estate segment engages in net leased properties, other diversified real estate, and investments in unconsolidated ventures. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Ladder Capital Corp was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ladder Capital Corp reported revenue of $392M in FY2025 versus $358M in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $64.2M in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
LADR screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Annaly Capital Management, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Ladder Capital Corp Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Ladder Capital (LADR) Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates
- Ladder Capital (LADR) Maintains 9% Yield as Loan Growth Strengthens Dividend Coverage
- Ladder Capital's Asset Management Head Sells 35,000 Shares — What's Really at Stake?
Peer Group
REIT - Mortgage · 40 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Mortgage median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaly Capital Management, Inc NLY | $22.45 | $22.84 | +2% |
| AGNC Investment Corp AGNC | $10.56 | $12.03 | +14% |
| Starwood Property Trust, Inc STWD | $16.52 | $14.93 | -10% |
| Rithm Capital Corp RITM | $9.12 | $20.75 | +128% |
| Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc BXMT | $16.69 | $14.84 | -11% |
| Dynex Capital, Inc DX | $12.60 | $7.67 | -39% |
| ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc ARR | $16.13 | $20.28 | +26% |
| Ellington Financial Inc EFC | $13.37 | $13.45 | +1% |
| Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc ARI | $6.76 | $13.56 | +101% |
| Orchid Island Capital, Inc ORC | $6.54 | $6.26 | -4% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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